PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PagCar

0x1a8a84c7d108623a012848bbbc9cb51c522660e7

Realised P&L
$-129.83
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
1,542
Open portfolio
$52.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,542
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xtreme Gaming make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027? · Yes0.4800.580$11.60+$2.00
Will a $1M+ Dota 2 team disband before 2027? · No0.7800.515$10.30−$5.30
Will Team Spirit make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027? · Yes0.6100.440$8.80−$3.40
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.3900.300$7.69−$2.31
Will Natus Vincere make a Dota 2 roster change before 2027? · Yes0.4500.490$6.52+$0.53
Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next? · No0.6400.305$6.10−$6.70
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027? · No0.6400.665$1.33+$0.05
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4100.390$0.39−$0.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.7200.000$0.00−$5.34
Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.3250.000$0.00−$3.04
Solana Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Down0.7700.000$0.00−$3.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$3.26
XRP Up or Down - July 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.5140.000$0.00−$5.37
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.8500.000$0.00−$4.77
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.7600.000$0.00−$5.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 06:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.65$10.15
10-14 08:49Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.4289462366$9.97
10-13 15:23Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.21$30.12
09-27 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.75$3.04
09-27 08:10Solana Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.8299998599$1.54
09-27 08:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.8$3.04
09-27 03:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.7299999688$3.04
09-27 03:10Solana Up or Down - September 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.6199999755$3.04
09-27 03:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.6999999539$3.04
09-26 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.7199999812$3.07
09-26 20:11Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.8399999668$3.04
09-26 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.76$3.04
09-26 15:41Solana Up or Down - September 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.8199999676$3.04
09-26 15:25Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.76$3.04
09-26 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.75$3.04