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Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-04
Resolves by
https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.051. up 0.009 over the period, from 0.042. Range 0.040 to 0.051. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0801111
0.0862031
0.10394125
0.110340465
0.2006401,105
0.230101,115
0.350201,135
0.589981,233
0.5904351,668
0.91051,673
0.9494602,132
0.9504,0126,144

Spread0.059Mid0.051

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0214040
0.020545
0.0195398
0.01512110
0.014129239
0.013215454
0.012355808
0.00571880
0.0043,7594,639
0.0035,90710,546
0.00214,26324,809
0.00125,48650,295

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9794040
0.980545
0.9815398
0.98512110
0.986129239
0.987215454
0.988355808
0.99571880
0.9963,7594,639
0.9975,90710,546
0.99814,26324,809
0.99925,48650,295

Spread0.059Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9201111
0.9142031
0.89794125
0.890340465
0.8006401,105
0.770101,115
0.650201,135
0.411981,233
0.4104351,668
0.09051,673
0.0514602,132
0.0504,0126,144

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PhongLeXBTYes449
xtxpleasecallmeYes195
Biver52Yes114.8
orin40Yes79.59
0x5ea3668Cd413A83429a0d72B333B4fD3940E583C-1771757770480Yes40.15
woevaYes29.99
velorotYes20
0xb0fc…d03cYes13
0x90d3…51e2Yes12
2kparabellumYes10
0x8ea8…6d05Yes7.77
0x2705…9d13Yes6.46
gazzadk1981Yes3.31
a5533Yes2.78
notagoy82Yes2
0xEd89c0A75bC0352Efe97A2c6925ba8D6E487647B-1759647546887Yes1.84
MrMarketNo752.85
MoribundusNo235.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:55:24BUYYes0.0794808686449$35.69
20:13:30SELLYes0.0226$0.52
03:10:05SELLYes0.014727115735$0.51
03:09:08BUYYes0.03799999935$1.32
02:59:05SELLYes0.01538$0.57
02:54:28BUYYes0.037999999738$1.45
23:07:53BUYYes0.03872082226$1.00
08:54:39SELLYes0.014165165210$0.14
03:17:51SELLYes0.01420$0.29
18:39:49SELLYes0.04410$0.44
20:54:51SELLYes0.0220$0.01
15:33:07SELLYes0.01410$0.14
17:51:11SELLYes0.0153$0.04
17:08:26SELLYes0.01540$0.60
16:54:02SELLYes0.0397$0.26
10:48:15BUYYes0.03250$1.60
08:47:08SELLYes0.014250$0.71
18:40:55SELLNo0.96718$17.62
14:05:08SELLYes0.0231$0.02
02:25:28SELLYes0.0217$0.15
02:25:23SELLYes0.02111$0.23
16:40:10SELLYes0.0420$0.79
08:59:09SELLNo0.931$1.08
08:56:37BUYNo0.97899998971$1.14
02:25:43SELLNo0.9281$0.95