PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xEd89c0A75bC0352Efe97A2c6925ba8D6E487647B-1759647546887

0xed89c0a75bc0352efe97a2c6925ba8d6e487647b

Realised P&L
$-133.21
Volume
$92.4k
Markets traded
2,174
Open portfolio
$21.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,174
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? · Yes0.1000.310$3.50+$2.37
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.080$3.20+$0.00
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0700.075$3.00+$0.20
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.073$2.97$0.08
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0110.021$0.84+$0.40
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.0500.035$0.69$0.31
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat? · No0.0900.050$0.50$0.40
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0360.040$0.40+$0.04
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat? · No0.0900.065$0.33$0.12
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat? · No0.0900.065$0.33$0.12
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1200.065$0.32$0.27
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? · No0.0770.061$0.30$0.08
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$0.27$0.22
Tom Lee charged by December 31? · Yes0.0900.050$0.25$0.20
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0130.017$0.24+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 02:38Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.11$0.11
05-06 00:06New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?SELL0.071$0.21
05-05 05:37Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?SELL0.082$0.25
05-04 08:42Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?SELL0.035$0.14
05-04 00:32Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.21$0.84
05-01 22:53Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.116$0.12
04-30 09:00Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.12$0.48
04-24 06:17Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.02$0.02
04-24 03:48Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.167$0.33
04-23 17:05Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.091$0.09
04-23 01:45Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.076$0.15
04-22 18:33Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?SELL0.24$0.96
04-21 19:52New Half-Life game by June 30?SELL0.06$0.12
04-21 16:00Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?SELL0.999$4.00
04-17 15:31Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?SELL0.097$0.10