PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5ea3668cd413a83429a0d72b333b4fd3940e583c

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$10.37

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.165$2.84−$2.16
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? · Yes0.0500.050$2.01+$0.01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.019$1.95−$8.05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2300.032$1.64−$10.36
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0820.018$1.07−$3.93
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0890.019$0.44−$1.56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2200.045$0.41−$1.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 19:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-08 19:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 14:45Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 11:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-31 10:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.4599997608$1.00
07-31 10:45Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-31 10:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-31 10:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-31 10:30Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.52$1.00
07-31 08:15Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.429999828$1.00
07-31 08:15Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-31 07:55Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-31 07:45Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 07:45Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 05:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.4799998272$1.00