notagoy82
0x39d8eda516cadb31572134a944f6e3fb23cccf32
- Realised P&L
- $-86.78
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $24.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.13at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19?
- +$28.10at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20?
- +$21.83at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?
- +$17.95at 0.358Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 19?
- +$17.81at 0.502Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 143.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22? | SELL | 0.996 | $23.90 |
| 03-21 08:31 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 08:11 | Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $0.96 |
| 03-21 07:42 | Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 03-21 07:30 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 07:11 | Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 07:10 | Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 03-21 06:29 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.04 |
| 03-21 05:54 | T20 International Diamond Premier League: Hong Kong (Idpl) vs India (Idpl) | SELL | 0.84 | $2.52 |
| 03-21 05:53 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.25 |
| 03-21 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.97 |
| 03-21 05:28 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.04 |
| 03-21 04:28 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 03:28 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 03:19 | Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.09 |