PolyBot

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Traders

Moribundus

0x1bdf96c53e8922cf09d310b146f3972bd3df1b74

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$112.5k
Markets traded
142
Open portfolio
$9.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded142
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · No0.8160.945$3.2k+$431.36
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · No0.7120.715$1.1k+$4.06
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9250.982$982.00+$57.01
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9000.980$980.00+$80.00
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No0.9630.977$889.25+$12.74
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · No0.8900.945$586.89+$34.05
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026? · No0.5910.953$500.13+$190.20
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8000.918$459.25+$59.25
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? · No0.9300.964$416.75+$14.70
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · No0.6630.955$268.82+$82.01
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? · No0.9500.950$223.57+$0.00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026? · No0.9400.821$118.80−$17.30
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$163.97
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 23, 2026? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$29.50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$37.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 19:06Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.21819016$109.10
07-13 18:43Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.4$320.00
07-13 18:43Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?SELL0.9467624762$94.67
07-13 18:42Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.967$96.70
07-13 18:42OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?SELL0.89$92.17
07-13 18:42Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?SELL0.895561$89.56
07-13 18:42Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.06$6.00
07-13 18:42Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.16$32.00
07-13 18:40Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?SELL0.967$17.62
07-13 18:40Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?SELL0.95$28.50
07-13 18:39Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.966$193.20
07-13 18:39Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.8$240.00
07-13 18:39Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$180.00
07-13 18:37US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?SELL0.9746250915$452.91
07-13 18:35Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?SELL0.98$12.59