Moribundus
0x1bdf96c53e8922cf09d310b146f3972bd3df1b74
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $112.5k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.020Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$487.00at 0.013New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
- +$312.50at 0.100Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$265.62at 0.220US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$195.00at 0.850Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 19:06 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.21819016 | $109.10 |
| 07-13 18:43 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.4 | $320.00 |
| 07-13 18:43 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? | SELL | 0.9467624762 | $94.67 |
| 07-13 18:42 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $96.70 |
| 07-13 18:42 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $92.17 |
| 07-13 18:42 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | SELL | 0.895561 | $89.56 |
| 07-13 18:42 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 07-13 18:42 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 07-13 18:40 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $17.62 |
| 07-13 18:40 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 07-13 18:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $193.20 |
| 07-13 18:39 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $240.00 |
| 07-13 18:39 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 07-13 18:37 | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.9746250915 | $452.91 |
| 07-13 18:35 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $12.59 |