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Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-31
Resolves by
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.495 over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.002 to 0.500. 160 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.009179179
0.01014193
0.02014207
0.02321228
0.03012240
0.14910250
0.15020270
0.17975345
0.180100445
0.18225470
0.187298768
0.19020788

Spread0.008Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001152152

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999152152

Spread0.008Mid0.995

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.991179179
0.99014193
0.98014207
0.97721228
0.97012240
0.85110250
0.85020270
0.82175345
0.820100445
0.81825470
0.813298768
0.81020788

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes300
RustyScissorsYes298.03
.MentheYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes99.05
TeenagePandaYes89.57
graynotebook19Yes80.07
AJSVYes46.14
sanduspaceYes40
e46m3Yes24.96
Numitus1994Yes21
Mojito9Yes10
DeepWaterMarketsYes10
bjproloYes5
0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149Yes3.84
mustbethewaterYes3.83
0xa5ef…2966No1,085.34
daniel122134No21.9
cigarettesNo20
0x0705488A6056eAfA396E0Dc964FC10C581f09af4-1770180341832No1.99
de6dNo1.85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:44:36BUYNo0.9992$1.85
00:12:36BUYNo0.9992$1.99
08:20:15BUYNo0.9991$1.26
05:13:50BUYNo0.9988$7.75
05:10:53BUYNo0.9982$1.51
04:19:39SELLYes0.00125$0.03
03:55:15SELLYes0.00246$0.09
02:55:47BUYNo0.99910$9.99
02:55:18BUYNo0.99920$19.98
23:54:51BUYNo0.99814$13.97
23:54:51BUYNo0.99830$29.94
22:21:11BUYNo0.99911$10.99
22:21:00BUYNo0.99940$39.96
22:20:59BUYNo0.99935$34.50
21:26:38BUYNo0.99992$91.61
21:26:38BUYNo0.99964$64.24
21:08:18BUYNo0.99959$58.94
21:08:17BUYNo0.99945$44.95
21:08:06BUYNo0.9996$5.87
21:07:48BUYNo0.99916$16.28
21:07:48BUYNo0.99945$44.95
21:07:47BUYNo0.99930$29.97
21:07:33BUYNo0.9998$7.50
21:07:33BUYNo0.99911$11.07
21:07:33BUYNo0.998108888990$89.83