Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-02
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.973. up 0.803 over the period, from 0.170. Range 0.080 to 0.973. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	496	496
0.990	15	511
0.993	557	1,068
0.994	40	1,108
0.998	40	1,148
0.999	548	1,695

Spread0.024Mid0.973

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	40	40
0.960	100	140
0.930	300	440
0.710	21	461
0.500	14	475
0.451	16	490
0.450	47	537
0.430	16	553
0.350	20	573
0.330	21	594
0.301	23	617
0.300	23	641

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	40	40
0.040	100	140
0.070	300	440
0.290	21	461
0.500	14	475
0.549	16	490
0.550	47	537
0.570	16	553
0.650	20	573
0.670	21	594
0.699	23	617
0.700	23	641

Spread0.024Mid0.027

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	496	496
0.010	15	511
0.007	557	1,068
0.006	40	1,108
0.002	40	1,148
0.001	548	1,695

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
CaptainCoinflip	Yes	495.53
givemethebucks	Yes	378.5
0x3ff7…2fa2	Yes	332.9
tradetosurvive1	Yes	318.11
LornaPredicts	Yes	214.77
southtide	Yes	159.39
memetal	Yes	102.54
MorfisCrypto	Yes	100
CalculatedRisk08	Yes	90
Ricil	Yes	85.31
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	53
0x2A649050794b55b35AaD5e79425601EaCF001dFd-1762455428758	Yes	50
joe48691	Yes	42
0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718	Yes	25
0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251	Yes	24.25
0xef03567fC5a30B665efca7e9eF2e9e3fe6031FbF-1759574216489	Yes	20
pppnn	Yes	16.2
0xc10779ee92ac0481396D3027EceDd0C95E39f2CD-1765149766751	Yes	12.7
janetmoore	Yes	12.13
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	10.89

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:15:27	SELL	Yes	0.96	8	$7.20
20:14:54	BUY	Yes	0.9819999986	10	$10.00
19:56:52	BUY	Yes	0.983	20	$19.66
16:17:15	BUY	Yes	0.984	13	$12.50
15:40:06	SELL	No	0.016	0	$0.01
13:58:10	BUY	Yes	0.984999991	103	$101.00
12:34:34	BUY	Yes	0.976	20	$19.52
12:25:24	BUY	No	0.047	50	$2.35
12:13:27	BUY	No	0.046	40	$1.84
12:10:27	BUY	Yes	0.945	14	$13.23
12:10:24	BUY	No	0.055	15	$0.84
11:55:07	SELL	No	0.02	40	$0.80
11:53:22	BUY	Yes	0.97	145	$140.16
11:53:07	BUY	Yes	0.88	246	$216.48
11:52:54	BUY	Yes	0.85	16	$13.43
11:52:52	BUY	Yes	0.8318843104	57	$47.50
11:52:40	BUY	Yes	0.7554761905	42	$31.73
11:51:51	BUY	Yes	0.66	8	$4.95
11:51:01	SELL	No	0.39	6	$2.34
11:51:01	SELL	No	0.39	14	$5.46
11:05:25	BUY	No	0.37	20	$7.40
11:05:25	BUY	No	0.37	20	$7.40
10:55:25	BUY	No	0.37	20	$7.40
10:45:25	BUY	No	0.37	20	$7.40
09:38:07	BUY	No	0.36	14	$5.04