MorfisCrypto
0xe9f5c9585796abec6f50f063187dbf015858cb06
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $844.1k
- Markets traded
- 8,528
- Open portfolio
- $23.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,528
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? · Up | 0.347 | 0.365 | $13.96 | +$0.67 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · No | 0.693 | 0.645 | $9.31 | −$0.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 5PM ET · Up | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ET · Down | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5PM ET · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.331Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on July 5?
- +$1.2kat 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$793.42at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:01 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:33 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.65 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-16 23:58 | BNB Up or Down - September 16, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 09-16 23:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $4.95 |
| 09-16 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 09-16 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.982 | $14.73 |
| 09-16 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $0.77 |
| 09-16 02:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:44 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:43 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:43 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:43 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:35 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.003 | $0.11 |
| 09-16 01:43 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.021 | $0.53 |