PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc10779ee92ac0481396D3027EceDd0C95E39f2CD-1765149766751

0xc10779ee92ac0481396d3027ecedd0c95e39f2cd

Realised P&L
$-901.57
Volume
$350.6k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$12.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.9840.958$12.16−$0.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7? · No0.0250.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$0.04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$11.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25? · No0.0110.000$0.00−$0.13
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$1.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$4.98
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 20? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$2.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$0.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 22? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$37.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 7? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 23? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00−$1.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? · No0.0330.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$16.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 9? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:17Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.984$12.50
10-30 15:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?SELL0.007$0.04
10-30 12:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?BUY0.014$1.19
10-30 12:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?BUY0.014$0.07
10-30 00:27Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?SELL0.999$12.74
10-28 12:29Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.99$4.89
10-27 23:10Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9299999919$4.60
10-27 16:22Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?SELL0.52$0.94
10-27 16:19Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-27 15:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?SELL0.001$0.21
10-27 15:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?BUY0.0024789023$0.52
10-27 15:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?SELL0.003$0.06
10-27 15:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?BUY0.003$0.06
10-26 13:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?SELL0.009$0.04
10-26 13:48Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?SELL0.029$0.34