0xc10779ee92ac0481396D3027EceDd0C95E39f2CD-1765149766751
0xc10779ee92ac0481396d3027ecedd0c95e39f2cd
- Realised P&L
- $-901.57
- Volume
- $350.6k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $12.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.080Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
- +$811.66at 0.325Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$216.65at 0.018MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$194.37at 0.059Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$174.94at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:17 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.984 | $12.50 |
| 10-30 15:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 10-30 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.19 |
| 10-30 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 10-30 00:27 | Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.74 |
| 10-28 12:29 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.89 |
| 10-27 23:10 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9299999919 | $4.60 |
| 10-27 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.94 |
| 10-27 16:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 10-27 15:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.0024789023 | $0.52 |
| 10-27 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 10-27 15:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 10-26 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.04 |
| 10-26 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.34 |