PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2A649050794b55b35AaD5e79425601EaCF001dFd-1762455428758

0x2a649050794b55b35aad5e79425601eacf001dfd

Realised P&L
$-24.07
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
1,279
Open portfolio
$58.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,279
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7800.910$13.65+$1.95
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? · No0.3680.745$5.21+$2.64
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.8900.865$5.19−$0.15
Will Frédéric Côté win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.7600.845$5.07+$0.51
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7880.693$4.85−$0.66
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.9500.961$4.80+$0.05
Will Frédéric Poulin win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.6900.890$4.45+$1.00
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.7700.695$4.17−$0.45
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.7100.673$4.04−$0.22
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.4500.400$4.00−$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes0.3400.340$1.70+$0.00
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.1100.070$0.70−$0.40
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0550.044$0.67−$0.16
Will Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 14:32Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.34$1.70
10-05 13:02Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.17$0.85
10-05 11:38Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.95$4.75
10-05 11:38Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.89$5.34
10-05 11:38Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.962$6.73
10-05 11:29Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.11$1.10
10-05 11:22Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.45$4.50
10-05 11:22Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?SELL0.988$8.89
10-05 08:07Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.788$5.52
10-05 08:07Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?SELL0.63$5.67
10-05 06:34Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.66$5.61
10-05 06:34Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?SELL0.66$6.60
10-05 04:09Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?BUY0.77$4.62
10-05 04:09Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?SELL0.6253125$5.00
10-04 19:53Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.26$1.30