Helldiver015
0x7d858550e3f39cb2f605b36e5b068a15bcb63a04
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $593.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,006
- Open portfolio
- $105.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,006
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$934.55at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$590.77at 0.483Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$470.50at 0.104US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$464.04at 0.094Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$402.84at 0.019US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:07 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.47414735 | $94.83 |
| 10-10 00:04 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.559 | $13.98 |
| 10-09 20:46 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.96 | $66.77 |
| 10-09 18:39 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 10-09 18:33 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.25 | $28.84 |
| 10-09 18:32 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.48 |
| 10-09 18:13 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.37 | $25.73 |
| 10-09 18:12 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.432 | $8.64 |
| 10-09 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $14.39 |
| 10-01 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 02:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $17.69 |
| 10-01 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $13.85 |