Helldiver015
0x7d858550e3f39cb2f605b36e5b068a15bcb63a04
- Realised P&L
- $4.0k
- Volume
- $555.8k
- Markets traded
- 910
- Open portfolio
- $320.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded910
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$934.55at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$590.77at 0.483Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$470.50at 0.104US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$464.04at 0.094Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$402.84at 0.019US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 08-04 12:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 08-04 03:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 08-04 00:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 08-03 21:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 08-03 21:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $8.11 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.5693340909 | $62.63 |
| 08-02 05:25 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4399090909 | $48.39 |
| 08-02 04:57 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.62 |
| 08-02 04:54 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $20.26 |
| 08-02 04:54 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $11.40 |
| 08-02 04:53 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.1606767323 | $11.92 |