PolyBot

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Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-01
Resolves by
https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.938. up 0.016 over the period, from 0.921. Range 0.915 to 0.966. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.951152152
0.954373525
0.957295820
0.9583751,195
0.9591711,366
0.96051,371
0.9616021,974
0.9623192,293
0.9632212,513
0.965452,558
0.966202,578
0.968452,623

Spread0.026Mid0.938

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.925220220
0.923535755
0.922130885
0.92121906
0.9191741,080
0.9183331,413
0.9161,1002,513
0.9156873,200
0.9142593,459
0.913203,479
0.911203,499
0.9108574,356

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.075220220
0.077535755
0.078130885
0.07921906
0.0811741,080
0.0823331,413
0.0841,1002,513
0.0856873,200
0.0862593,459
0.087203,479
0.089203,499
0.0908574,356

Spread0.026Mid0.062

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.049152152
0.046373525
0.043295820
0.0423751,195
0.0411711,366
0.04051,371
0.0396021,974
0.0383192,293
0.0372212,513
0.035452,558
0.034202,578
0.032452,623

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
wagwanshawtyYes2,435.71
FlyingPlatyYes2,190.39
Breezy-EntranceYes2,000
ScottyNoooYes1,868.15
RobotGammaYes1,000
BetterFishYes755.21
failstoberYes643.45
donthackmeYes619.44
JustinSunYes456.91
purplegattoYes335.2
WharfManYes235.13
gopfan2Yes220.5
bananazone-033Yes216.78
WakuYes162.34
wrongandstupidYes160
cocococococoYes136
winterfrostYes133
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedYes112.85
unrealizedgainstax0rYes108.78
lemonadefuzzYes107.92

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:18:21SELLYes0.93822$20.63
16:58:04SELLYes0.94415$14.15
16:58:04BUYNo0.05647$2.63
03:58:54SELLYes0.947223$211.18
03:58:54SELLYes0.9486$5.69
03:48:40BUYYes0.95753$50.24
23:57:21BUYYes0.959222$212.90
23:57:19BUYYes0.96431$29.88
23:57:15BUYYes0.95126$119.54
22:24:49SELLNo0.05126$6.31
22:24:13BUYYes0.948666666730$28.46
22:24:13BUYYes0.947645$610.81
21:04:49SELLYes0.94551$48.20
12:01:51SELLNo0.052750187540$2.11
12:01:33BUYYes0.946166666724$22.71
12:01:33BUYYes0.9439050633316$298.27
19:33:13SELLYes0.9213$3.13
15:33:41SELLYes0.91820$18.36
15:33:38BUYNo0.08120$1.62
15:33:32BUYNo0.07480$5.92
15:27:22SELLNo0.06640$2.64
15:27:17SELLNo0.06620$1.32
15:27:13SELLNo0.06640$2.64
15:21:58BUYYes0.93894051811,009$947.12
15:21:10SELLNo0.06620$1.32