PolyBot

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Traders

bananazone-033

0xa2f8303c186e71dc7afa354dde0defb3e0432752

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$291.9k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$238.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.8470.869$188.27+$4.70
Obama arrested before 2027? · No0.9370.973$24.32+$0.91
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.1100.115$19.75+$0.86
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · No0.1320.105$4.74$1.23
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Something0.0600.065$1.63+$0.13
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00$272.40
Will the California redistricting referendum not pass? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$29.75
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition · No0.2900.000$0.00$86.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 8? · No0.1890.000$0.00$110.47
Grok 4.20 released by January 31? · Yes0.7380.000$0.00$265.80
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition · No0.1390.000$0.00$67.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 15:36Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.8479998941$3.97
04-24 15:36Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.15$0.75
04-24 15:35Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.8473142145$33.98
04-24 15:35Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.13$5.21
04-24 15:32Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.8466786047$145.63
04-24 15:32Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.11$18.89
02-23 09:59Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaBUY0.06$1.50
02-23 09:57Obama arrested before 2027?BUY0.9367872$23.42
02-06 10:10US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.6$32.40
02-06 10:10US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.6$240.00
01-10 23:17Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl?BUY0.9$81.00
01-07 21:17MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?BUY0.956$195.91
01-07 18:06Grok 4.20 released by January 31?BUY0.719$215.70
01-04 11:01Grok 4.20 released by January 31?BUY0.835$50.10
12-26 20:33Epstein client list released in 2025?BUY0.9035841561$281.98