unrealizedgainstax0r
0xe54cd7d83b14f0e37e6d97fa2c3890d5c58c377e
- Realised P&L
- $7.32
- Volume
- $176.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $94.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes | 0.824 | 0.869 | $94.48 | +$4.86 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.72at 0.171Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?
- +$56.43at 0.430New Pope in 2025?
- +$1.49at 0.985Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$1.30at 0.920Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
- +$0.75at 0.930Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 17:27 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.8238359993 | $89.62 |
| 05-22 09:26 | Was 9/11 an inside job? | BUY | 0.9699999958 | $2.32 |
| 05-22 09:24 | Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.80 |
| 05-22 09:24 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025? | BUY | 0.1710891089 | $17.28 |
| 03-17 15:28 | New Pope in 2025? | BUY | 0.43 | $42.57 |
| 03-17 15:27 | Will no new pope be elected in 2025? | BUY | 0.56 | $55.44 |
| 02-09 13:12 | Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.998999988 | $99.31 |
| 01-17 15:29 | Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | BUY | 0.985 | $97.82 |
| 12-11 18:05 | Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.72 |
| 11-10 18:35 | Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.004 | $97.60 |
| 11-04 20:31 | Will a Democrat win Indiana Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.981999996 | $39.71 |
| 11-04 20:31 | Will a Republican win Indiana Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.978 | $39.71 |
| 10-25 15:57 | Will a Republican win Indiana Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9739999864 | $39.55 |
| 10-12 13:59 | Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.003 | $39.55 |
| 10-12 13:57 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.451 | $38.51 |