JustinSun
0x05fcce89e825ea1514903412e82c296e4757f78e
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $2.64M
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $449.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.276Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$884.06at 0.036Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
- +$836.93at 0.022Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$692.27at 0.758Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
- +$686.00at 0.510Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 15:26 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1046378937 | $47.81 |
| 07-04 15:26 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.8172164759 | $373.39 |
| 06-15 15:29 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.23 |
| 06-15 15:29 | Will Paraguay win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.9790656364 | $112.77 |
| 06-09 17:32 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $324.70 |
| 06-09 17:31 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 06-09 17:31 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1246750278 | $41.45 |
| 06-09 16:13 | Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0671970698 | $57.79 |
| 06-09 16:12 | Will Switzerland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.92 | $791.20 |
| 06-09 15:57 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $212.16 |
| 06-09 15:57 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $32.45 |
| 06-09 15:46 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $41.65 |
| 06-09 15:45 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.1k |
| 06-09 15:44 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $175.24 |
| 06-07 08:03 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.27 |