Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-05
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.46. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.28 to 0.49. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.46	60	60
0.47	176	236
0.48	114	350
0.49	360	710
0.50	126	836
0.53	45	881
0.54	70	951
0.55	80	1,031
0.57	20	1,051
0.67	100	1,151
0.68	80	1,231
0.69	440	1,671

Spread0.01Mid0.46

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	81	81
0.44	73	154
0.43	116	271
0.37	20	291
0.34	32	323
0.29	350	673
0.05	10	683
0.04	56	739
0.03	30	769
0.02	50	819
0.01	95	914

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	81	81
0.56	73	154
0.57	116	271
0.63	20	291
0.66	32	323
0.71	350	673
0.95	10	683
0.96	56	739
0.97	30	769
0.98	50	819
0.99	95	914

Spread0.01Mid0.55

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.54	60	60
0.53	176	236
0.52	114	350
0.51	360	710
0.50	126	836
0.47	45	881
0.46	70	951
0.45	80	1,031
0.43	20	1,051
0.33	100	1,151
0.32	80	1,231
0.31	440	1,671

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
KiruaTrading	Yes	766.48
Gemini123	Yes	246.05
Ricil	Yes	226.16
0x64B2Df86320431478146E55fbBD10C012502a9f8-1776646852678	Yes	100
sky886	Yes	74.41
sdssds	Yes	30.89
frontiertrade	Yes	30
pppnn	Yes	24.32
0x19557b587304c1e3cc9380F55A59cc72806be6e8-1767866905523	Yes	10
0xaf67…8ae1	Yes	8.67
0x49b4…1036	Yes	5.23
Alfonso910616	Yes	2.7
tradetosurvive1	No	270.98
pykue	No	235
vedanggg	No	150.29
joe48691	No	149.17
rocky42019	No	125
Fihdrzgdd	No	100
AJSV	No	98.31
0xa5ef…2966	No	83.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:47:54	BUY	Yes	0.41	10	$4.10
14:47:48	BUY	Yes	0.39	50	$19.50
11:12:50	SELL	No	0.63	20	$12.60
11:12:48	BUY	Yes	0.36	40	$14.40
11:07:02	BUY	Yes	0.36	50	$18.00
11:02:03	BUY	Yes	0.3599999862	9	$3.12
11:02:02	BUY	Yes	0.36	50	$18.00
06:39:02	SELL	No	0.667366383	235	$156.83
06:39:02	BUY	Yes	0.34	20	$6.80
06:34:17	SELL	No	0.67	10	$6.70
03:22:02	BUY	Yes	0.3	40	$12.00
02:22:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	20	$5.80
02:17:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
02:12:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
02:07:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
02:02:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
01:57:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
01:27:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
01:07:00	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
00:47:02	BUY	Yes	0.29	50	$14.50
00:21:47	BUY	No	0.71	89	$63.32
23:34:08	SELL	Yes	0.28	119	$33.32
23:11:02	BUY	Yes	0.31	119	$36.89
22:44:44	SELL	Yes	0.31	20	$6.20
22:44:41	SELL	Yes	0.31	2	$0.52