0x49b4befc02563a6c6dc7df987f39130cf5761036
0x49b4befc02563a6c6dc7df987f39130cf5761036
- Realised P&L
- $-2.33
- Volume
- $57.13
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $24.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.360 | 0.480 | $6.40 | +$1.60 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · No | 0.909 | 0.910 | $4.81 | +$0.01 |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.970 | 1.000 | $3.46 | +$0.10 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · No | 0.300 | 0.280 | $2.24 | −$0.16 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes | 0.190 | 0.165 | $2.08 | −$0.32 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.105 | $0.22 | −$1.22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.029 | $0.13 | −$2.20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.975 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.33 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.9089999919 | $4.80 |
| 09-29 16:33 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:51 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.1899999992 | $2.40 |
| 09-29 15:51 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.3 | $2.40 |
| 09-29 15:51 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.359999982 | $4.80 |
| 09-29 13:27 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.6999999514 | $1.44 |
| 09-29 13:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999107 | $2.33 |
| 09-29 13:27 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.9749998326 | $2.33 |
| 09-29 13:27 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.36 |