Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.69. up 0.48 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.19 to 0.69. 161 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	800	800
0.71	375	1,175
0.72	100	1,275
0.74	80	1,355
0.76	6	1,361
0.84	8	1,369
0.88	8	1,377
0.89	80	1,457
0.96	8	1,466
0.97	118	1,584
0.98	8	1,591
0.99	242	1,833

Spread0.03Mid0.69

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	107	107
0.66	50	157
0.65	30	187
0.61	50	237
0.55	20	257
0.54	11	268
0.47	30	298
0.46	11	308
0.43	5	313
0.40	37	351
0.39	77	428
0.31	20	448

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	107	107
0.34	50	157
0.35	30	187
0.39	50	237
0.45	20	257
0.46	11	268
0.53	30	298
0.54	11	308
0.57	5	313
0.60	37	351
0.61	77	428
0.69	20	448

Spread0.03Mid0.32

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	800	800
0.29	375	1,175
0.28	100	1,275
0.26	80	1,355
0.24	6	1,361
0.16	8	1,369
0.12	8	1,377
0.11	80	1,457
0.04	8	1,466
0.03	118	1,584
0.02	8	1,591
0.01	242	1,833

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
QR1	Yes	589.16
Redeemm	Yes	274.96
Quarrelsome-Branch	Yes	263.13
Dapsy	Yes	100
UpTheStairs	Yes	40.53
0xF9658C740E471db66F62Ec137157d7B9756dcCB0-1720347430903	Yes	19.44
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	17.53
hgr1	Yes	15.63
0x5d4e…360c	Yes	10.47
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	10.33
asdfdd123	Yes	10
haouibao	Yes	10
suntori	Yes	6.4
enderwnd	Yes	5.17
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	5
Lucerys	Yes	1.9
ogi250	Yes	1.58
Majas	Yes	1.24
zxcursed121	Yes	1
0xa5ef…2966	No	804.59

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:49:50	SELL	No	0.3	29	$8.70
12:49:50	SELL	No	0.3	9	$2.70
12:49:47	BUY	Yes	0.69	9	$6.21
12:49:47	SELL	No	0.31	29	$8.99
12:49:47	SELL	No	0.32	8	$2.56
11:24:44	BUY	Yes	0.6453366965	353	$227.70
11:23:54	BUY	Yes	0.64	16	$10.00
11:23:53	BUY	Yes	0.64	2	$1.01
11:23:53	BUY	Yes	0.63	10	$6.30
11:23:35	BUY	Yes	0.58	264	$153.31
10:54:12	BUY	No	0.43	15	$6.45
10:45:41	SELL	Yes	0.57	120	$68.40
07:15:32	SELL	No	0.43	5	$2.19
07:14:59	BUY	Yes	0.5799999768	5	$3.00
07:14:53	BUY	Yes	0.57	53	$30.26
07:14:14	BUY	Yes	0.56	30	$16.80
03:18:14	BUY	Yes	0.58	18	$10.44
03:18:12	BUY	Yes	0.55	118	$64.90
02:54:38	SELL	Yes	0.53	3	$1.59
02:49:00	BUY	Yes	0.53	74	$39.15
02:23:17	SELL	Yes	0.64	523	$334.55
02:23:17	BUY	No	0.38	2	$0.94
02:23:17	BUY	No	0.38	20	$7.60
02:23:17	BUY	No	0.3799999961	21	$7.80
02:23:15	BUY	No	0.38	57	$21.66