PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dapsy

0x73d225c851df25d73b14846a370bdeef9434f9b7

Realised P&L
$-69.8k
Volume
$7.00M
Markets traded
4,481
Open portfolio
$27.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,481
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.835$1.3k$22.50
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? · No0.8600.805$407.33$27.83
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9200.935$374.01+$6.00
Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election? · Yes0.9200.935$374.00+$6.00
Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town? · Yes0.9200.900$360.00$8.00
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? · No0.8200.725$349.65$45.82
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8900.870$348.00$8.00
Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026? · No0.8400.845$329.06+$1.95
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · Yes0.8600.955$286.50+$28.50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7700.695$278.12$29.98
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.8500.875$262.50+$7.50
Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? · No0.8700.860$258.00$3.00
Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election? · Yes0.8800.850$255.00$9.00
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.8700.610$244.00$104.00
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.8330.806$241.95$7.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 20:13Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL0.74$5.66
09-05 19:45Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?SELL0.06$12.00
09-05 19:38Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?SELL0.048$14.25
08-29 06:32Indiana lions in custody by August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET?SELL0.001$0.40
08-22 21:13Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 23?SELL0.02$2.00
08-22 20:24No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.719$9.59
08-21 19:41Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?SELL0.999$199.80
08-20 21:00Iran leadership change by October 31?SELL0.07$21.00
08-09 12:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 9?SELL0.999$106.72
08-06 19:47Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?SELL0.999$99.90
08-06 19:46Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?SELL0.999$28.38
08-03 19:09Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?SELL0.999$199.80
08-03 19:09Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?SELL0.999$199.80
08-01 20:24Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?SELL0.08814015$17.63
07-10 20:47Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?SELL0.999$199.80