PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF9658C740E471db66F62Ec137157d7B9756dcCB0-1720347430903

0xf9658c740e471db66f62ec137157d7b9756dccb0

Realised P&L
$-149.62
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$311.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? · No0.8530.825$29.00−$1.00
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed? · Yes0.1400.435$24.83+$16.83
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · No0.7850.755$21.17−$0.83
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · No0.8640.850$19.68−$0.32
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.8930.958$19.32+$1.32
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026? · Yes0.7290.575$17.34−$4.66
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · No0.9080.968$12.79+$0.79
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · Yes0.6860.660$9.63−$0.37
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? · No0.9100.905$8.95−$0.05
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? · Yes0.6760.975$8.65+$2.65
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.6720.715$8.51+$0.51
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 6, 2026? · Yes0.7400.999$8.10+$2.10
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · Yes0.7300.710$7.78−$0.22
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul? · Yes0.8400.978$6.99+$0.99
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre? · Yes0.8900.984$6.63+$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 23:13Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 6, 2026?BUY0.7399999778$6.00
10-05 22:30Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?BUY0.9099999899$9.00
10-05 22:21Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.5799999768$6.00
10-05 22:21Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.5899999725$6.00
10-05 22:20Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.7899999697$6.00
10-05 21:08Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026?BUY0.9399999958$9.00
10-05 20:15Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.8599999957$4.00
10-05 20:13Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?BUY0.8599998997$6.00
10-05 20:13US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.839999958$4.00
10-05 19:55Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
10-05 19:37Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.85$4.00
10-05 19:37Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.8099999352$4.00
10-05 19:37Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.8599999957$4.00
10-05 19:37Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.8099999352$4.00
10-05 19:36Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?BUY0.8899999881$6.00