0xF9658C740E471db66F62Ec137157d7B9756dcCB0-1720347430903
0xf9658c740e471db66f62ec137157d7b9756dccb0
- Realised P&L
- $-149.62
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $311.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.45at 0.350US recession in 2025?
- +$27.22at 0.171Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
- +$9.21at 0.730Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$0.73at 0.847Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?
- +$0.50at 0.810Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:13 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999778 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 22:30 | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999899 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 22:21 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 22:21 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 22:20 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7899999697 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 21:08 | Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999958 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 20:15 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.8599999957 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 20:13 | Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? | BUY | 0.8599998997 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 20:13 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.839999958 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 19:55 | Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 19:37 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 19:37 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 19:37 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.8599999957 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 19:37 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 19:36 | Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? | BUY | 0.8899999881 | $6.00 |