future2048
0x399ff412b664cae0768972ace36b0b50b246b1ba
- Realised P&L
- $-4.08
- Volume
- $217.49
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $55.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.840 | $33.59 | +$8.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.410 | $12.30 | +$0.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.495 | $9.90 | +$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.98at 0.669Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?
- +$0.56at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?
- +$-4.27at 0.422Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-09 13:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6842857143 | $11.98 |
| 10-09 13:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 10-09 11:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 10-09 11:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 10-09 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.395 | $11.85 |
| 10-09 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.152 | $0.60 |
| 10-09 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.159 | $0.96 |