PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.110. down 0.225 over the period, from 0.335. Range 0.035 to 0.360. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2092626
0.2364874
0.2371589
0.24026115
0.24920135
0.25035170
0.34820190
0.39120210
0.39217227
0.9105232
0.990410642
0.99980722

Spread0.198Mid0.110

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0112020
0.010430450
0.00174524

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9892020
0.990430450
0.99974524

Spread0.198Mid0.890

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7912626
0.7644874
0.7631589
0.76026115
0.75120135
0.75035170
0.65220190
0.60920210
0.60817227
0.0905232
0.010410642
0.00180722

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes427.57
KiruaTradingYes125.06
EQIQYes108.51
LornaPredictsYes69.28
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes60
DowJones2Yes42.78
tradetosurvive1Yes36.08
0xcf27…f35fYes19
to-the-moooonYes17
pootytherewardfarmerYes13.88
GuyFromTinderYes10
0xf550…ae8cYes10
LaribobiboYes4.11
cmnd7wYes3.7
tradeo39Yes1.52
0xa5ef…2966No557.81
RebeccaBarrett5688No200
a5533No60.01
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433No29.64
pppnnNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:21:21SELLYes0.0442$1.68
23:20:22BUYYes0.0720$1.40
23:20:22BUYYes0.0720$1.40
23:20:13BUYYes0.072982456129$2.08
23:20:09BUYYes0.0782$5.74
16:56:27SELLYes0.041818181855$2.30
16:56:25SELLYes0.0520$1.00
16:56:25SELLYes0.0625$1.50
16:55:25BUYYes0.0920$1.80
16:45:27BUYYes0.0920$1.80
16:35:25BUYYes0.0920$1.80
16:30:37BUYNo0.86999996052$1.32
16:30:07SELLNo0.835$4.15
16:26:52BUYYes0.0940$3.60
11:55:12BUYNo0.915$4.55
11:54:30SELLYes0.0921$1.91
11:54:15SELLYes0.0933$3.00
11:53:52SELLYes0.0940$3.60
11:53:43BUYYes0.111$1.10
11:53:40BUYYes0.118$1.80
11:53:15BUYYes0.113$1.31
11:53:00BUYYes0.153$5.25
11:51:51SELLNo0.97$6.34
11:09:46BUYNo0.909999999314$13.00
09:36:48BUYNo0.9200$180.00