EQIQ
0x43c1ce610f43e6074acf40e48ce22960ace1ac90
- Realised P&L
- $-437.27
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $65.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.660 | $23.56 | −$1.43 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.510 | $22.85 | −$2.09 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.040 | $10.62 | +$5.31 |
| Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.035 | $3.80 | −$3.86 |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.035 | $2.67 | −$0.28 |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.761 | 0.965 | $2.30 | +$0.49 |
| Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.85 |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.40at 0.034Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$12.92at 0.820Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$8.40at 0.123Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$4.00at 0.230Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
- +$2.71at 0.780Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:15 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.22 |
| 11-02 01:15 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.96 | $7.20 |
| 11-01 23:21 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.68 |
| 11-01 23:20 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 11-01 23:20 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 11-01 23:20 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.0729824561 | $2.08 |
| 11-01 23:20 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.74 |
| 11-01 20:05 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.45 |
| 11-01 19:05 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.22 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.46 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.45 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.0418181818 | $2.30 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 16:55 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |