RebeccaBarrett5688
0xbe27471a42dc128fc6bebecbc86662dfb5af9623
- Realised P&L
- $-340.41
- Volume
- $92.1k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $493.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.290 | 0.986 | $446.66 | +$315.29 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.200 | 0.150 | $46.80 | −$15.60 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$720.72at 0.220Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
- +$369.92at 0.320Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
- +$247.95at 0.130Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
- +$110.50at 0.310Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$107.04at 0.760Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 10:54 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.79 | $11.85 |
| 04-09 10:52 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.79 | $328.64 |
| 03-29 13:57 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.89 | $383.59 |
| 03-24 05:18 | Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | SELL | 0.47 | $84.60 |
| 03-23 22:40 | Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | BUY | 0.81 | $145.80 |
| 03-22 13:50 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $231.42 |
| 03-22 13:49 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $377.54 |
| 03-21 18:29 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $34.38 |
| 03-20 17:36 | Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $578.10 |
| 03-19 06:20 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $189.44 |
| 03-19 02:09 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $28.05 |
| 03-18 15:20 | Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $360.80 |
| 03-17 16:21 | Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $231.84 |
| 03-17 15:02 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $53.40 |
| 03-16 14:23 | Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $374.00 |