Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.032. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.030 to 0.033. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.033	1,084	1,084
0.034	2,073	3,157
0.035	1,476	4,633
0.036	300	4,933
0.039	2,000	6,933
0.040	5,000	11,933
0.043	500	12,433
0.050	500	12,933
0.060	100	13,033
0.099	82	13,116
0.100	50	13,166
0.110	200	13,366

Spread0.003Mid0.032

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	172	172
0.029	219	391
0.028	308	698
0.027	58	756
0.024	292	1,048
0.023	409	1,457
0.015	50	1,508
0.014	572	2,080
0.013	700	2,780
0.010	515	3,295
0.006	2,667	5,962
0.005	1,500	7,462

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	172	172
0.971	219	391
0.972	308	698
0.973	58	756
0.976	292	1,048
0.977	409	1,457
0.985	50	1,508
0.986	572	2,080
0.987	700	2,780
0.990	515	3,295
0.994	2,667	5,962
0.995	1,500	7,462

Spread0.003Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.967	1,084	1,084
0.966	2,073	3,157
0.965	1,476	4,633
0.964	300	4,933
0.961	2,000	6,933
0.960	5,000	11,933
0.957	500	12,433
0.950	500	12,933
0.940	100	13,033
0.901	82	13,116
0.900	50	13,166
0.890	200	13,366

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Rufr	Yes	23,350
marketsbetts	Yes	16,519.5
aenews2	Yes	12,207.09
0x0cf2310a5895488Db7D00aEf07a2Cca7bbe2bd92-1767761317676	Yes	10,814.79
0xA3013f9740158AA0dDA3829a9fD63581071802A3-1767944529853	Yes	5,766.67
0x38d98577544C0C70196aAffF02BCA9e4A08Da783-1750155167418	Yes	4,708.88
0x47eb…c8de	Yes	3,870
moon-k58-lad	Yes	3,865
yugopnik	Yes	2,856.51
Hyperlong	Yes	2,818
cmidujwd293	Yes	2,473.83
greenlandcw	Yes	2,278.8
marlonvb	Yes	2,272.73
cryptoposol	Yes	2,228.57
Toussus	Yes	2,222.22
0x330Baa931079ACF53eD4117fEeb152C694E3394B-1768414340521	Yes	2,116.09
Stronghold15	Yes	2,050.82
gilligilli	Yes	2,038.29
seadogtropical	Yes	2,000
spacejam9000	Yes	1,845.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:32:03	SELL	No	0.9673448276	29	$28.05
15:33:33	BUY	No	0.9709999583	8	$7.92
15:06:03	SELL	No	0.968	250	$242.00
09:24:49	BUY	No	0.9700916383	309	$300.00
20:38:30	SELL	Yes	0.0300076	100	$3.00
17:52:30	BUY	No	0.969	39	$37.79
10:52:45	SELL	Yes	0.031	40	$1.24
10:49:03	BUY	Yes	0.033	40	$1.32
00:47:40	SELL	No	0.966	6	$5.42
17:54:36	SELL	No	0.9676346543	49	$47.86
07:09:58	BUY	No	0.9699998448	3	$2.50
01:42:57	BUY	No	0.9699996109	2	$1.77
00:31:39	SELL	No	0.969	2	$2.33
08:10:12	BUY	No	0.9699999987	8	$7.58
13:15:42	SELL	Yes	0.03	11	$0.33
09:27:42	BUY	No	0.9699996646	2	$1.88
07:57:42	SELL	No	0.969	2	$1.54
18:54:00	SELL	Yes	0.03	128	$3.83
13:22:48	SELL	Yes	0.03	45	$1.36
12:12:01	SELL	No	0.969	6	$5.80
08:11:24	SELL	No	0.969	9	$8.79
06:21:18	SELL	No	0.969	4	$3.44
06:16:12	BUY	No	0.9699999488	8	$7.96
05:12:42	SELL	No	0.969	8	$7.32
03:36:34	BUY	No	0.9699998588	6	$5.36