Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.022. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.027. Range 0.022 to 0.027. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	225	225
0.025	1,303	1,528
0.026	6,518	8,046
0.027	4,444	12,490
0.029	807	13,298
0.030	1,211	14,509
0.036	1,411	15,920
0.038	40	15,960
0.040	200	16,160
0.043	500	16,660
0.048	1,111	17,771
0.050	200	17,971

Spread0.003Mid0.022

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	8	8
0.020	7	15
0.019	49	64
0.018	53	116
0.017	381	497
0.016	612	1,109
0.015	359	1,468
0.014	364	1,832
0.013	723	2,555
0.012	300	2,855
0.010	215	3,070
0.005	800	3,870

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	8	8
0.980	7	15
0.981	49	64
0.982	53	116
0.983	381	497
0.984	612	1,109
0.985	359	1,468
0.986	364	1,832
0.987	723	2,555
0.988	300	2,855
0.990	215	3,070
0.995	800	3,870

Spread0.003Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	225	225
0.975	1,303	1,528
0.974	6,518	8,046
0.973	4,444	12,490
0.971	807	13,298
0.970	1,211	14,509
0.964	1,411	15,920
0.962	40	15,960
0.960	200	16,160
0.957	500	16,660
0.952	1,111	17,771
0.950	200	17,971

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Rufr	Yes	23,350
marketsbetts	Yes	16,519.5
aenews2	Yes	12,207.09
0x0cf2310a5895488Db7D00aEf07a2Cca7bbe2bd92-1767761317676	Yes	10,814.79
0xA3013f9740158AA0dDA3829a9fD63581071802A3-1767944529853	Yes	5,766.67
0x38d98577544C0C70196aAffF02BCA9e4A08Da783-1750155167418	Yes	4,708.88
0x47eb…c8de	Yes	3,870
moon-k58-lad	Yes	3,865
yugopnik	Yes	2,856.51
Hyperlong	Yes	2,818
cmidujwd293	Yes	2,473.83
greenlandcw	Yes	2,278.8
marlonvb	Yes	2,272.73
cryptoposol	Yes	2,228.57
Toussus	Yes	2,222.22
0x330Baa931079ACF53eD4117fEeb152C694E3394B-1768414340521	Yes	2,116.09
Stronghold15	Yes	2,050.82
gilligilli	Yes	2,038.29
seadogtropical	Yes	2,000
spacejam9000	Yes	1,845.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:41:43	SELL	No	0.975	150	$146.25
04:09:30	SELL	No	0.975	6	$5.36
04:08:48	BUY	No	0.978999996	6	$5.39
04:06:48	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.88
04:06:24	BUY	No	0.9789998537	5	$4.90
04:02:52	SELL	No	0.975	6	$5.37
04:01:48	BUY	No	0.978999996	6	$5.39
03:59:31	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.88
03:58:39	BUY	No	0.9789998537	5	$4.90
03:58:12	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.88
03:57:06	BUY	No	0.9789998537	5	$4.90
03:54:19	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.88
03:53:25	BUY	No	0.9789998537	5	$4.90
03:52:33	SELL	No	0.975	6	$5.37
03:51:42	BUY	No	0.978999996	6	$5.39
03:17:03	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.89
03:16:39	BUY	No	0.9760120149	5	$4.90
03:15:16	SELL	No	0.975	6	$5.36
03:14:49	BUY	No	0.978999996	6	$5.39
03:09:46	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.88
03:09:15	BUY	No	0.9789998537	5	$4.90
02:24:49	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.88
02:24:00	BUY	No	0.9789998537	5	$4.90
02:18:49	SELL	No	0.975	5	$4.88
02:17:48	BUY	No	0.9769999429	5	$4.89