PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

seadogtropical

0x12d3cdf9a6c0324c2eb7da3253ebd0522d7753c1

Realised P&L
$8.3k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$45.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1000.022$45.00−$155.00
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$361.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-12 20:45Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.9486940001$1.7k
01-12 20:45Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.95$249.85
01-12 20:45Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.96$28.80
01-12 20:45Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.96$16.93
01-12 20:45Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.9520515575$44.32
01-12 20:44Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.96$91.20
01-12 20:44Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.95$31.35
01-12 20:44Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.96$123.84
01-12 20:43Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.96$5.02
01-12 20:43Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.961$153.76
01-12 20:43Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.95$10.45
01-12 20:42Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.9370591557$66.37
01-12 20:41Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.95$128.88
01-12 20:41Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.95$9.56
01-12 20:41Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY0.95$1.0k