0x0cf2310a5895488Db7D00aEf07a2Cca7bbe2bd92-1767761317676
0x0cf2310a5895488db7d00aef07a2cca7bbe2bd92
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $60.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $913.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.185 | $572.42 | −$694.10 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.032 | $340.67 | −$644.37 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$501.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$613.82at 0.832Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
- +$382.10at 0.220Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$225.55at 0.918Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$-1.3kat 0.334Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 18:51 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.0781729692 | $281.81 |
| 02-26 03:46 | Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | SELL | 0.0351443453 | $150.44 |
| 02-06 09:56 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.3586955596 | $336.93 |
| 02-04 08:14 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $17.47 |
| 02-04 08:11 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $225.50 |
| 01-24 08:05 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $453.49 |
| 01-24 08:02 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $453.49 |
| 01-22 23:46 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $767.44 |
| 01-22 08:07 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.4785772851 | $500.00 |
| 01-22 08:00 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 01-22 07:59 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999997 | $200.00 |
| 01-22 07:52 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $744.19 |
| 01-22 04:24 | Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $250.75 |
| 01-22 03:02 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $500.50 |
| 01-21 08:39 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.9199772727 | $2.0k |