cmidujwd293
0xb4a4d559c553bb583199dc833efeaca65d9fdc8f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $422.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$950.58at 0.468Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
- +$260.20at 0.490Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$200.00at 0.600Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$176.19at 0.630Argentina wins Copa America 2024?
- +$54.88at 0.820Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 12:12 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.025 | $72.49 |
| 01-19 16:10 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999997 | $296.86 |
| 01-19 16:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.79 | $296.74 |
| 01-15 11:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.82 | $308.01 |
| 09-07 22:57 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.88 |
| 09-07 22:25 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.4369976569 | $70.36 |
| 09-07 22:25 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.5779578193 | $72.62 |
| 09-07 22:24 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.6521370791 | $82.93 |
| 09-07 22:24 | Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.4136559088 | $200.00 |
| 07-01 14:29 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 02-21 17:39 | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | BUY | 0.0309029758 | $25.00 |
| 02-21 17:38 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025? | BUY | 0.1666666667 | $100.00 |
| 02-19 22:26 | Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation? | BUY | 0.1346153824 | $50.00 |
| 02-19 22:26 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025? | BUY | 0.1584575698 | $250.00 |
| 02-19 19:16 | Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation? | BUY | 0.3599381626 | $100.00 |