PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cmidujwd293

0xb4a4d559c553bb583199dc833efeaca65d9fdc8f

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$41.5k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$422.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.035$345.00+$95.00
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1200.032$77.93$218.93
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$350.00
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? · No0.4750.000$0.00$69.67
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$50.00
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican? · Democrat0.2300.000$0.00$100.00
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$100.00
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · No0.4190.000$0.00$270.36
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$50.00
Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00$150.00
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No0.3440.000$0.00$1.8k
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$25.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-12 12:12Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.025$72.49
01-19 16:10Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1199999997$296.86
01-19 16:042026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.79$296.74
01-15 11:502026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.82$308.01
09-07 22:57Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?SELL0.58$0.88
09-07 22:25Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?BUY0.4369976569$70.36
09-07 22:25Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?SELL0.5779578193$72.62
09-07 22:24Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?BUY0.6521370791$82.93
09-07 22:24Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?BUY0.4136559088$200.00
07-01 14:29Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?BUY0.4399999975$50.00
02-21 17:39Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?BUY0.0309029758$25.00
02-21 17:38NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?BUY0.1666666667$100.00
02-19 22:26Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?BUY0.1346153824$50.00
02-19 22:26NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?BUY0.1584575698$250.00
02-19 19:16Danny Ryan as next executive director of Ethereum Foundation?BUY0.3599381626$100.00