moon-k58-lad
0xc8008c1143351e21a58287163734737632ab4117
- Realised P&L
- $-129.7k
- Volume
- $3.56M
- Markets traded
- 13,073
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13,073
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.594Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$3.9kat 0.490Wyoming vs. Central Michigan
- +$3.2kat 0.471Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$3.0kat 0.552Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
- +$2.9kat 0.542LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 22:24 | Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.98 |
| 09-26 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 09-26 21:50 | Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.1149222798 | $22.18 |
| 09-26 21:46 | UConn vs. Miami (OH) | BUY | 0.66 | $227.04 |
| 09-26 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4138461538 | $5.38 |
| 09-26 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.55 |
| 09-26 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $34.08 |
| 09-26 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $16.28 |
| 09-26 20:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.999 | $228.77 |
| 09-26 20:40 | Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0891413534 | $11.86 |
| 09-26 20:32 | UConn vs. Miami (OH) | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 20:28 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.8 | $183.20 |
| 09-26 20:15 | Will Montserrat vs. British Virgin Islands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2531393258 | $22.53 |
| 09-26 20:10 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9129999974 | $4.95 |
| 09-26 19:28 | Penguins vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |