PolyBot

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Traders

0x38d98577544C0C70196aAffF02BCA9e4A08Da783-1750155167418

0x38d98577544c0c70196aafff02bca9e4a08da783

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$105.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$148.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0810.032$148.33$231.46
US forces enter Iran by March 1? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$284.65
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$771.74
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00$10.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$137.70
Will the Iranian regime fall before July? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.00
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June? · No0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.35
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$99.27
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00$434.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$28.27
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$490.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · No0.2840.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 21:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?SELL0.14$100.00
07-23 15:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.2839965944$100.00
07-23 15:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
07-09 18:00Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.142499989$10.00
07-08 09:26Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.05$55.00
05-30 18:01Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.04$1.00
05-30 17:57Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.07$7.70
05-30 16:39Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.2099999957$30.00
05-30 15:57Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.3799999987$100.00
03-28 16:10Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2842590608$100.00
03-12 18:01Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.71$142.00
03-11 18:23Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.66$528.00
03-11 17:05Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?BUY0.54$8.37
03-11 17:04Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.45$7.87
03-06 22:51US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY0.49$101.50