0x38d98577544C0C70196aAffF02BCA9e4A08Da783-1750155167418
0x38d98577544c0c70196aafff02bca9e4a08da783
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $105.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $148.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.119Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.555US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$722.00at 0.110US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$267.20at 0.447Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$192.86at 0.757US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 21:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | SELL | 0.14 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 15:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.2839965944 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 15:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 18:00 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.142499989 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 09:26 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $55.00 |
| 05-30 18:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 17:57 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.70 |
| 05-30 16:39 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $30.00 |
| 05-30 15:57 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 03-28 16:10 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2842590608 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 18:01 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 03-11 18:23 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $528.00 |
| 03-11 17:05 | Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $8.37 |
| 03-11 17:04 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $7.87 |
| 03-06 22:51 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $101.50 |