PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cryptoposol

0x36bdb2533a48364ac62eedbea2b98ecc332e8976

Realised P&L
$821.73
Volume
$104.1k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$89.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0820.032$70.20$111.80
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8300.990$7.15+$1.15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.030$6.10$13.90
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.064$3.34$6.66
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.038$2.75$7.25
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · No0.0590.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Nigeria by December 31? · No0.9630.000$0.00$10.00
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$566.36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.4760.000$0.00$170.00
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmoh · Mmoh0.4100.000$0.00$10.00
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Dvalishvili0.7700.000$0.00$5.00
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9600.000$0.00$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 18:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.4469999961$50.00
02-28 18:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.4349999979$50.00
02-28 13:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5368739765$50.00
02-28 13:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5379999924$10.00
02-28 13:56Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
02-28 09:09Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.0589999464$1.00
02-28 09:08Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL0.9415539143$50.99
02-28 09:03Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
02-28 08:24Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.9469999991$50.00
02-28 07:44Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?BUY0.9689999777$1.00
02-28 07:43Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
02-27 08:33Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?SELL0.93$102.53
02-27 08:33Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.57$93.11
02-24 06:46Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9069999921$100.00
02-23 21:34Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.5195277004$110.00