cryptoposol
0x36bdb2533a48364ac62eedbea2b98ecc332e8976
- Realised P&L
- $821.73
- Volume
- $104.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $89.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.032 | $70.20 | −$111.80 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.990 | $7.15 | +$1.15 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.030 | $6.10 | −$13.90 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.064 | $3.34 | −$6.66 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.038 | $2.75 | −$7.25 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · No | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Nigeria by December 31? · No | 0.963 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$566.36 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.476 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.00 |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmoh · Mmoh | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Dvalishvili | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.302Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$39.85at 0.240UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$22.46at 0.690UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$9.30at 0.507Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$6.31at 0.912Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 18:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4469999961 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 18:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4349999979 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 13:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5368739765 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 13:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5379999924 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 13:56 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 09:09 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 09:08 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | SELL | 0.9415539143 | $50.99 |
| 02-28 09:03 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 08:24 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.9469999991 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 07:44 | Iran Strike on Israel by March 31? | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 07:43 | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 08:33 | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $102.53 |
| 02-27 08:33 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $93.11 |
| 02-24 06:46 | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9069999921 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 21:34 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5195277004 | $110.00 |