Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.029 to 0.049. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	92	92
0.040	206	298
0.041	1,342	1,640
0.042	20	1,660
0.043	20	1,680
0.044	262	1,942
0.045	245	2,187
0.046	629	2,816
0.047	575	3,390
0.049	1,597	4,987
0.050	1,162	6,149
0.052	20	6,169

Spread0.009Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	48	48
0.029	96	144
0.028	205	349
0.027	20	369
0.026	42	411
0.025	320	731
0.024	1,547	2,278
0.023	4,116	6,394
0.021	477	6,871
0.020	1,990	8,861
0.019	1,321	10,182
0.018	2,167	12,349

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	48	48
0.971	96	144
0.972	205	349
0.973	20	369
0.974	42	411
0.975	320	731
0.976	1,547	2,278
0.977	4,116	6,394
0.979	477	6,871
0.980	1,990	8,861
0.981	1,321	10,182
0.982	2,167	12,349

Spread0.009Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	92	92
0.960	206	298
0.959	1,342	1,640
0.958	20	1,660
0.957	20	1,680
0.956	262	1,942
0.955	245	2,187
0.954	629	2,816
0.953	575	3,390
0.951	1,597	4,987
0.950	1,162	6,149
0.948	20	6,169

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
paddaa	Yes	1,946.9
PaddyAlpha	Yes	1,362.43
0x1810bB26940A488d9E18d0da69ec282e5218de11-1760516973972	Yes	1,233.33
LadyVanga	Yes	1,137.93
AlexCimmeria	Yes	999.99
frenswillmakeit	Yes	969
77895	Yes	909.09
rocky42014	Yes	826.85
reizo	Yes	809.56
Bsau4	Yes	796.01
Avitz33	Yes	590
tupac	Yes	535.5
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	502.66
outcomes	Yes	499.67
suntori	Yes	467.17
ethombu	Yes	400
Perypery	Yes	327.84
Nadmi	Yes	296.11
0x19E8a6435Ac67c04ad70fA10Bfe51222a57536E1-1765570636967	Yes	281.82
0x6432CF47e77Ab16b84F802967083b1DAbdaE8616-1761735777305	Yes	250.61

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:34:04	SELL	No	0.963	13	$12.52
08:20:04	BUY	No	0.964287037	540	$520.71
04:59:04	SELL	Yes	0.037	116	$4.31
04:58:58	SELL	Yes	0.0374213483	71	$2.66
04:58:55	BUY	No	0.9605907445	318	$305.13
04:58:45	SELL	Yes	0.04	20	$0.80
04:58:43	BUY	No	0.9542822069	71	$67.63
00:23:28	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
00:23:12	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
00:23:04	SELL	Yes	0.047	30	$1.41
00:22:43	BUY	No	0.952	10	$9.53
00:22:39	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
00:22:37	BUY	No	0.952	10	$9.53
00:22:09	BUY	No	0.952	10	$9.53
23:15:36	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
23:15:13	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
23:14:49	BUY	No	0.9520069615	10	$9.53
23:14:25	BUY	No	0.9519999241	10	$9.53
23:13:58	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
23:13:04	BUY	No	0.9519999241	10	$9.53
23:12:49	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
23:12:28	BUY	No	0.9519999241	10	$9.53
04:06:33	SELL	No	0.951	8	$7.39
22:51:52	SELL	No	0.95	10	$9.51
22:51:01	BUY	No	0.9519999241	10	$9.53