reizo
0xc81c1df1f183e1b137119e590e9d7b64e805e454
- Realised P&L
- $767.24
- Volume
- $487.5k
- Markets traded
- 512
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded512
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$846.80at 0.450Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$565.97at 0.907Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$559.54at 0.871Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
- +$517.51at 0.841Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$374.36at 0.915Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 12:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.849 | $237.72 |
| 10-03 20:42 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $900.00 |
| 09-30 13:23 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.064 | $5.64 |
| 09-30 13:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 19:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999996 | $130.00 |
| 06-12 10:55 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL | 0.958 | $126.36 |
| 06-12 10:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4537897348 | $177.45 |
| 06-11 05:53 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.92 | $29.35 |
| 06-11 05:50 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.63 | $258.30 |
| 06-09 05:06 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 06-09 04:54 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $7.80 |
| 06-07 06:59 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 06-07 06:47 | Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9850941925 | $445.94 |
| 06-04 05:53 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7340739203 | $35.35 |
| 06-04 05:51 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $24.40 |