PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

reizo

0xc81c1df1f183e1b137119e590e9d7b64e805e454

Realised P&L
$-257.04
Volume
$482.0k
Markets traded
508
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded508
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7630.880$774.39+$102.82
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7270.775$751.78+$46.39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3540.160$296.98$363.02
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No0.8010.975$264.80+$47.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1730.075$181.72$235.60
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8360.925$156.23+$15.03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6880.845$110.13+$20.49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0430.116$108.57+$68.44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5310.840$98.20+$36.09
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$44.53$36.26
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.6500.645$32.25$0.25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.5800.930$31.84+$11.98
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4500.785$31.40+$13.40
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7070.040$25.14$424.68
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3900.195$19.50$19.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 10:55SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL0.958$126.36
06-12 10:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4537897348$177.45
06-11 05:53SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY0.92$29.35
06-11 05:50SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.63$258.30
06-09 05:06Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.11$11.00
06-09 04:54Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.026$7.80
06-07 06:59Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.992$496.00
06-07 06:47Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9850941925$445.94
06-04 05:53Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.7340739203$35.35
06-04 05:51Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?SELL0.61$24.40
06-04 05:51Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?SELL0.46$18.40
06-04 05:50Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?SELL0.964$15.78
06-04 05:49Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.72$6.70
06-03 03:39Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.56$28.00
06-02 05:40Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.82$164.00