reizo
0xc81c1df1f183e1b137119e590e9d7b64e805e454
- Realised P&L
- $-257.04
- Volume
- $482.0k
- Markets traded
- 508
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded508
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$846.80at 0.450Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$565.97at 0.907Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$559.54at 0.871Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
- +$517.51at 0.841Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$374.36at 0.915Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 10:55 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL | 0.958 | $126.36 |
| 06-12 10:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4537897348 | $177.45 |
| 06-11 05:53 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.92 | $29.35 |
| 06-11 05:50 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.63 | $258.30 |
| 06-09 05:06 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 06-09 04:54 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $7.80 |
| 06-07 06:59 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 06-07 06:47 | Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9850941925 | $445.94 |
| 06-04 05:53 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7340739203 | $35.35 |
| 06-04 05:51 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $24.40 |
| 06-04 05:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 06-04 05:50 | Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30? | SELL | 0.964 | $15.78 |
| 06-04 05:49 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.72 | $6.70 |
| 06-03 03:39 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 06-02 05:40 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |