PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

reizo

0xc81c1df1f183e1b137119e590e9d7b64e805e454

Realised P&L
$767.24
Volume
$487.5k
Markets traded
512
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded512
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9170.915$2.2k−$6.00
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7630.936$824.11+$152.54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3240.154$340.64−$375.36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1730.122$293.65−$123.68
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6880.925$120.56+$30.92
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2590.115$99.39−$124.61
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5310.820$95.87+$33.75
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0640.054$35.42−$6.17
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.6500.655$32.75+$0.25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.5800.901$30.85+$10.99
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1000.035$28.33−$52.45
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7070.033$21.00−$428.81
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3900.160$16.00−$23.00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7010.030$7.84−$175.22
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8490.000$0.00−$237.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 12:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.849$237.72
10-03 20:42Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9$900.00
09-30 13:23Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.064$5.64
09-30 13:16NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$1.20
09-29 19:26NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999996$130.00
06-12 10:55SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL0.958$126.36
06-12 10:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4537897348$177.45
06-11 05:53SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY0.92$29.35
06-11 05:50SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY0.63$258.30
06-09 05:06Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.11$11.00
06-09 04:54Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.026$7.80
06-07 06:59Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.992$496.00
06-07 06:47Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9850941925$445.94
06-04 05:53Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.7340739203$35.35
06-04 05:51Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?SELL0.61$24.40