PolyBot

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Traders

0x6432CF47e77Ab16b84F802967083b1DAbdaE8616-1761735777305

0x6432cf47e77ab16b84f802967083b1dabdae8616

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$76.7k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$483.69

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.595$224.53+$24.53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.221$81.67$18.33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3300.160$48.33$51.67
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.080$39.75$60.25
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3800.075$19.74$80.26
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.3990.075$18.79$81.21
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes0.4890.280$17.18$12.82
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$13.78$16.22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0890.105$11.80+$1.80
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.085$2.24$7.76
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0850.015$1.82$8.18
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.027$1.59$8.41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0840.009$1.01$8.99
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.1100.011$0.96$9.04
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.003$0.50$9.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 09:33Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0069991601$50.00
05-11 08:41Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.91$54.16
05-11 08:41Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0925553283$126.70
04-11 17:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.6550380811$100.00
04-11 17:35Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.3991460119$100.00
04-11 17:332026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999995$200.00
04-11 17:32Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.8399999993$50.00
04-11 17:23Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.18$7.70
04-11 17:23Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?SELL0.06$9.00
03-18 20:00Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.3197645733$158.86
03-02 16:50Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.8830048551$9.3k
03-02 14:11Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.19$44.33
03-02 14:06Will UK strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.7173647706$2.2k
03-02 14:01Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.9524448181$10.0k
03-02 13:49Will UK strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.7457036392$2.2k