0x6432CF47e77Ab16b84F802967083b1DAbdaE8616-1761735777305
0x6432cf47e77ab16b84f802967083b1dabdae8616
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $76.7k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $483.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.127Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$387.37at 0.680Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$182.08at 0.354Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$141.52at 0.298US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$131.18at 0.329Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 09:33 | Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0069991601 | $50.00 |
| 05-11 08:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $54.16 |
| 05-11 08:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0925553283 | $126.70 |
| 04-11 17:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.6550380811 | $100.00 |
| 04-11 17:35 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.3991460119 | $100.00 |
| 04-11 17:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $200.00 |
| 04-11 17:32 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 04-11 17:23 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.70 |
| 04-11 17:23 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 03-18 20:00 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.3197645733 | $158.86 |
| 03-02 16:50 | Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.8830048551 | $9.3k |
| 03-02 14:11 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $44.33 |
| 03-02 14:06 | Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.7173647706 | $2.2k |
| 03-02 14:01 | Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9524448181 | $10.0k |
| 03-02 13:49 | Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7457036392 | $2.2k |