PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6432CF47e77Ab16b84F802967083b1DAbdaE8616-1761735777305

0x6432cf47e77ab16b84f802967083b1dabdae8616

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$77.0k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$519.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.705$266.04+$66.04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.183$67.96−$32.04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.123$61.75−$38.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3300.155$46.97−$53.03
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes0.4890.350$21.47−$8.53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3800.055$14.47−$85.53
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1200.049$12.15−$17.85
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0890.098$10.96+$0.96
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.3990.038$9.52−$90.48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0850.025$3.00−$7.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.0840.013$1.49−$8.51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.045$1.20−$8.80
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.020$1.18−$8.82
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.1100.007$0.64−$9.36
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.003$0.50−$9.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 20:48UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.5399999991$200.00
05-16 09:33Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0069991601$50.00
05-11 08:41Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.91$54.16
05-11 08:41Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0925553283$126.70
04-11 17:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.6550380811$100.00
04-11 17:35Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.3991460119$100.00
04-11 17:332026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999995$200.00
04-11 17:32Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.8399999993$50.00
04-11 17:23Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.18$7.70
04-11 17:23Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?SELL0.06$9.00
03-18 20:00Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.3197645733$158.86
03-02 16:50Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.8830048551$9.3k
03-02 14:11Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.19$44.33
03-02 14:06Will UK strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.7173647706$2.2k
03-02 14:01Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.9524448181$10.0k