PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

77895

0x33c577c7b2eaa9c3d896790b085e40c219772230

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$133.4k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$427.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3940.439$111.24+$11.24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3780.374$99.13−$0.87
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1100.048$43.64−$56.36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1700.045$26.47−$73.53
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.022$22.50−$77.50
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.2890.055$19.03−$80.97
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1530.029$18.56−$81.44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2600.045$17.31−$82.69
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.4400.075$17.05−$82.95
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1400.024$16.79−$83.21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2170.036$16.60−$83.40
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1880.021$10.90−$89.10
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.021$7.96−$92.04
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$100.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 19:33Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.89$50.73
07-19 21:15Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.25$51.55
07-14 20:22France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1004433902$200.00
07-14 20:19France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.138831902$100.00
07-07 17:41Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.119999999$100.00
06-29 23:20Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4$100.00
06-18 07:24Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2010362211$100.00
06-17 08:38Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?BUY0.3220533326$100.00
06-17 07:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
06-17 05:50Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2478587188$100.00
06-16 09:55Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?BUY0.2890507573$100.00
06-12 12:10Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
06-12 11:11Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$100.00
06-12 09:12Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.3942024356$100.00
06-10 08:50US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?BUY0.3692829374$99.60