77895
0x33c577c7b2eaa9c3d896790b085e40c219772230
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $133.4k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $427.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$414.03at 0.123Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$368.37at 0.217Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$352.01at 0.145Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
- +$284.62at 0.260US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 19:33 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $50.73 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.25 | $51.55 |
| 07-14 20:22 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1004433902 | $200.00 |
| 07-14 20:19 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.138831902 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 17:41 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 23:20 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 06-18 07:24 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2010362211 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 08:38 | Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? | BUY | 0.3220533326 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 07:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 05:50 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2478587188 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 09:55 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | BUY | 0.2890507573 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 12:10 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 11:11 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 09:12 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3942024356 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 08:50 | US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.3692829374 | $99.60 |