LadyVanga
0xc06bf106e1eb95d60c93b116634c9552c4bdef68
- Realised P&L
- $-738.17
- Volume
- $316.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $91.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.055 | $62.59 | −$64.60 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.018 | $29.17 | −$70.83 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$113.96 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-66.17at 0.008Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
- +$-100.00at 0.013Will the US strike Iran next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-20 10:01 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? | BUY | 0.0117135033 | $17.61 |
| 01-20 09:55 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.001 | $100.00 |
| 01-20 09:55 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 01-14 20:47 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $113.96 |
| 01-14 07:45 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | BUY | 0.1117733775 | $127.19 |
| 01-14 00:19 | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $127.19 |
| 01-13 21:57 | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.0072255144 | $93.39 |
| 01-13 21:50 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 21:49 | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.0079911298 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 21:46 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.0131065794 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 21:44 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 21:39 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0567653938 | $100.00 |