0x1810bB26940A488d9E18d0da69ec282e5218de11-1760516973972
0x1810bb26940a488d9e18d0da69ec282e5218de11
- Realised P&L
- $-181.10
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $67.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $67.83 | −$80.17 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.14at 0.022Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$-20.00at 0.080Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-06 07:13 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999993 | $148.00 |
| 10-21 16:53 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.2399999962 | $42.44 |
| 10-18 17:01 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.027 | $6.14 |
| 10-18 17:01 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $36.31 |
| 10-17 07:23 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.2699999976 | $60.94 |
| 10-17 07:23 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 10-16 14:06 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 10-16 14:05 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0220000001 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 14:03 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |