ethombu
0xc0746865184eccdbbffa1bba1767efa0c8a61f3d
- Realised P&L
- $-42.99
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $76.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.545 | $54.50 | −$9.50 |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $22.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.49 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.90at 0.760Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$9.60at 0.930Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:18 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 01-09 14:27 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 01-09 14:25 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $8.88 |
| 01-09 14:25 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.15 |
| 03-23 08:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? | BUY | 0.1099999887 | $8.49 |
| 11-23 11:42 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |