PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. Unchanged over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.09 to 0.10. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.131616
0.14100116
0.175121
0.1818139
0.4520159
0.47115274
0.4840314
0.5336350
0.5860410
0.59483893
0.7020913
0.712501,163

Spread0.05Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.081515
0.07115130
0.0679209
0.03230439
0.02390829
0.016981,527

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.921515
0.93115130
0.9479209
0.97230439
0.98390829
0.996981,527

Spread0.05Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.871616
0.86100116
0.835121
0.8218139
0.5520159
0.53115274
0.5240314
0.4736350
0.4260410
0.41483893
0.3020913
0.292501,163

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274Yes369.64
xtxpleasecallmeYes91.84
0xB16B00B5Yes78.77
2B9SYes70
burge146Yes34.93
browndustYes32.76
Dr.PNLYes17.89
FihdrzgddYes9
JuanPG76Yes6.25
AlexielLucifenYes5
LucerysYes4.99
0xa5ef…2966No641.53
cigarettesNo60
PitosyflautasNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:30:30BUYNo0.925$4.60
17:13:18BUYYes0.179$7.88
06:00:44BUYNo0.946$5.64
05:37:29BUYYes0.0935$3.15
05:21:41BUYNo0.945$4.70
05:16:32BUYNo0.945$4.70
07:57:11BUYNo0.945$4.70
10:08:20BUYNo0.9310$9.30
06:48:36BUYYes0.07100$7.00
12:51:43BUYNo0.9120$18.20
12:51:43BUYNo0.9110$9.10
10:55:57BUYNo0.915$4.55
10:55:57BUYNo0.919$8.14
10:55:54BUYNo0.915$4.59
03:45:43SELLYes0.099$0.79
02:12:20BUYYes0.117$1.73
20:11:03SELLYes0.111$1.10
19:51:08BUYNo0.920$18.00
19:16:08SELLYes0.19$0.88
19:16:02BUYNo0.919$16.88
19:16:02BUYNo0.933$29.48
23:08:48SELLYes0.137$3.70
22:12:24SELLYes0.1116$1.76
22:12:23BUYNo0.8916$14.24
22:12:20BUYNo0.8916$14.36