JuanPG76
0x3c2c0df1092e800f81e03063faa0844b433b4fe5
- Realised P&L
- $-28.07
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $6.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.97at 0.205Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$3.52at 0.225Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$3.10at 0.622Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$3.00at 0.257Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$2.30at 0.310Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 20:10 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 17:58 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:58 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.17 |
| 09-12 18:09 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 18:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:40 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:40 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2024998633 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:14 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5224999138 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819997765 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.199 | $1.88 |
| 07-11 20:44 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2474998162 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 20:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 20:42 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.162499868 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 20:42 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5349999727 | $5.00 |