PolyBot

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Traders

JuanPG76

0x3c2c0df1092e800f81e03063faa0844b433b4fe5

Realised P&L
$-28.07
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$6.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1390.170$3.67+$0.67
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8700.942$2.17+$0.17
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027? · Yes0.1600.105$0.66−$0.34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027? · Yes0.1000.038$0.39−$0.61
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4570.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00−$2.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00−$1.00
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 20:10Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.2599999896$6.00
09-28 17:58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
09-28 17:58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
09-16 15:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$1.17
09-12 18:09Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.16$1.00
09-12 18:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$1.00
07-19 16:40Spain to score first vs. Argentina?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
07-19 16:40Spread: Spain (-1.5)BUY0.2024998633$1.00
07-15 20:14England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5224999138$1.00
07-15 20:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819997765$1.00
07-12 07:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.199$1.88
07-11 20:44Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2474998162$1.00
07-11 20:43Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.29999982$1.00
07-11 20:42Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.162499868$1.00
07-11 20:42Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5349999727$5.00