0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274
0x688b15f0b28ed993dba8ee14f3485ddbb55349f5
- Realised P&L
- $149.75
- Volume
- $205.2k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $194.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.70at 0.005Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$21.02at 0.007Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$13.33at 0.013Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
- +$12.46at 0.008Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$10.84at 0.259Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-15 10:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 04:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.02 |
| 09-14 14:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.59 |
| 09-14 13:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.32 |
| 09-13 18:56 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 17:08 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 15:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-13 15:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-13 02:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.29 |
| 09-13 02:34 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-12 09:49 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.88 |
| 09-12 06:06 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.22 |
| 09-12 06:05 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.08 |
| 09-12 05:50 | Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.73 |