0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274
0x688b15f0b28ed993dba8ee14f3485ddbb55349f5
- Realised P&L
- $230.25
- Volume
- $267.7k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $330.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.70at 0.005Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$25.68at 0.007Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$14.21at 0.136Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?
- +$13.33at 0.013Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
- +$12.61at 0.183Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.02 |
| 11-01 08:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 10-31 19:28 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 10-30 20:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-30 18:27 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.08 |
| 10-30 17:18 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-30 17:17 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-30 08:38 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.71 |
| 10-30 07:28 | Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.24 |
| 10-30 07:25 | Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-30 02:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 10-30 02:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-29 05:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-29 03:49 | Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-29 03:48 | Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |