PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.101 over the period, from 0.125. Range 0.021 to 0.235. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0331919
0.0631332
0.06683114
0.16840154
0.1695159
0.18545204
0.18650254
0.378550804
0.379161965
0.381501,015
0.38351,020
0.388701,090

Spread0.017Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0166363
0.01580143
0.007150293
0.00376369
0.002275643
0.0011,3371,980

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9846363
0.98580143
0.993150293
0.99776369
0.998275643
0.9991,3371,980

Spread0.017Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9671919
0.9371332
0.93483114
0.83240154
0.8315159
0.81545204
0.81450254
0.622550804
0.621161965
0.619501,015
0.61751,020
0.612701,090

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes89.99
AlexielLucifenYes80
Numitus1994Yes51
2B9SYes50
AJSVYes40
lolzzzlolYes31.68
LucerysYes19
donthackmeYes14
smarterstratYes12.8
0xa5ef…2966No348.72
cigarettesNo40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:17:17BUYNo0.93713$11.99
23:17:06BUYNo0.93422$20.55
23:17:05BUYNo0.9345$4.67
23:17:05BUYNo0.93410$9.34
22:22:39SELLYes0.06646$3.01
02:52:15SELLYes0.07210$0.72
18:14:08SELLYes0.00710$0.07
06:42:38BUYNo0.9910$9.90
06:42:38BUYNo0.981$0.97
06:42:38BUYNo0.9814$13.72
10:14:53BUYNo0.9817$16.28
10:14:53BUYNo0.9818$18.03
09:14:06SELLYes0.041$0.04
07:51:57BUYNo0.969$8.64
15:18:12BUYNo0.9620$19.20
08:35:32BUYNo0.9510$9.50
14:11:02BUYNo0.974$3.88
14:03:13BUYNo0.972$1.93
13:32:27BUYNo0.979$8.73
13:32:27BUYNo0.975$4.85
13:32:27BUYNo0.975$4.86
11:23:27BUYNo0.9711$10.36
08:46:14BUYNo0.976$5.82
08:46:14BUYNo0.975$4.85
07:59:03BUYNo0.9720$19.40