Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.017. Range 0.009 to 0.017. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	29	29
0.021	165	194
0.023	15	209
0.026	1,000	1,209
0.027	55	1,264
0.036	278	1,542
0.037	45	1,587
0.038	45	1,632
0.039	45	1,676
0.040	45	1,721
0.041	45	1,766
0.042	45	1,810

Spread0.013Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.007	1,484	1,484
0.006	1,282	2,766
0.005	1,539	4,305
0.004	800	5,105
0.002	296	5,400
0.001	9,013	14,413

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.993	1,484	1,484
0.994	1,282	2,766
0.995	1,539	4,305
0.996	800	5,105
0.998	296	5,400
0.999	9,013	14,413

Spread0.013Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	29	29
0.979	165	194
0.977	15	209
0.974	1,000	1,209
0.973	55	1,264
0.964	278	1,542
0.963	45	1,587
0.962	45	1,632
0.961	45	1,676
0.960	45	1,721
0.959	45	1,766
0.958	45	1,810

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
strategy1.2	Yes	6,987.42
hippoka	Yes	4,167
fed26	Yes	2,780.46
mcorleone	Yes	2,251.02
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	1,610.16
rousseauuu	Yes	1,442.76
Ume-Chang	Yes	1,309.19
Deadheadbucky	Yes	849.19
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	573.69
Beefie	Yes	500
donthackme	Yes	492.24
awgraewrfa	Yes	471.27
0x96E27EDb0ecfd4926A5BBfc6d5208D86EAE01690-1779414160316	Yes	413.09
DearMaria	Yes	349
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	348.16
crossFiter	Yes	305.45
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	277.96
Functional-Engineer	Yes	260.51
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
2B9S	Yes	132

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:34:25	SELL	No	0.9803975058	26	$25.16
14:32:32	BUY	No	0.993	15	$14.76
09:52:52	SELL	Yes	0.007	15	$0.10
09:52:46	SELL	Yes	0.007	1	$0.01
09:52:38	SELL	Yes	0.007	13	$0.09
09:52:32	SELL	Yes	0.007	30	$0.21
07:37:31	BUY	No	0.993	20	$19.86
07:37:31	BUY	No	0.993	27	$26.31
07:37:31	BUY	No	0.993	20	$19.86
05:39:43	SELL	Yes	0.007	95	$0.67
18:20:58	BUY	No	0.994	40	$39.76
18:09:46	BUY	No	0.994	30	$29.82
18:05:31	BUY	No	0.9935166667	30	$29.81
18:04:10	BUY	No	0.994	37	$36.78
18:03:49	BUY	No	0.994	8	$7.95
14:49:07	SELL	Yes	0.006	12	$0.07
10:11:50	SELL	No	0.983	15	$14.74
01:53:51	SELL	Yes	0.006	17	$0.10
01:53:45	SELL	Yes	0.005	13	$0.07
15:52:17	BUY	No	0.9909999999	80	$79.50
15:52:15	BUY	No	0.9909999996	17	$16.48
15:52:15	BUY	No	0.991	15	$14.87
15:52:15	BUY	No	0.991	30	$29.73
04:36:35	SELL	No	0.983	6	$5.99
04:36:06	BUY	No	0.984	6	$6.00