Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.057. down 0.171 over the period, from 0.227. Range 0.056 to 0.239. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.066	46	46
0.068	22	68
0.069	67	135
0.077	3	139
0.078	64	203
0.079	9	212
0.080	133	345
0.081	9	355
0.082	9	364
0.083	9	373
0.084	9	382
0.085	9	392

Spread0.019Mid0.057

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.047	23	23
0.046	25	48
0.045	1,240	1,288
0.044	25	1,313
0.043	27	1,340
0.042	26	1,366
0.041	28	1,394
0.040	28	1,422
0.039	29	1,451
0.038	29	1,480
0.037	31	1,511
0.036	31	1,542

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.953	23	23
0.954	25	48
0.955	1,240	1,288
0.956	25	1,313
0.957	27	1,340
0.958	26	1,366
0.959	28	1,394
0.960	28	1,422
0.961	29	1,451
0.962	29	1,480
0.963	31	1,511
0.964	31	1,542

Spread0.019Mid0.944

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.934	46	46
0.932	22	68
0.931	67	135
0.923	3	139
0.922	64	203
0.921	9	212
0.920	133	345
0.919	9	355
0.918	9	364
0.917	9	373
0.916	9	382
0.915	9	392

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
strategy1.2	Yes	6,987.42
hippoka	Yes	4,167
fed26	Yes	2,780.46
mcorleone	Yes	2,251.02
rousseauuu	Yes	1,442.76
Ume-Chang	Yes	1,309.19
Deadheadbucky	Yes	849.19
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	735.34
Beefie	Yes	500
donthackme	Yes	492.25
cry.eth2	Yes	471.27
0x96E27EDb0ecfd4926A5BBfc6d5208D86EAE01690-1779414160316	Yes	413.09
DearMaria	Yes	349
HerrieDavis	Yes	186.84
Bikesarethebest	Yes	180.16
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
2B9S	Yes	132
Hummershark	Yes	128.89
romanew-1-new	Yes	123.89
BotPoli	Yes	123.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:42:42	SELL	Yes	0.0466767896	369	$17.21
19:12:12	BUY	No	0.948	13	$12.13
19:12:10	BUY	No	0.948	20	$18.96
19:12:10	BUY	No	0.948	10	$9.48
16:32:30	SELL	No	0.932	1	$0.65
15:44:18	BUY	No	0.9397068404	12	$11.54
15:44:18	BUY	No	0.941	14	$12.82
15:44:17	BUY	No	0.9401792208	8	$7.24
15:42:00	BUY	No	0.939	5	$4.69
15:40:09	BUY	No	0.939	5	$5.07
15:36:57	BUY	No	0.938	2	$1.48
15:31:42	BUY	No	0.938	5	$4.69
15:31:42	BUY	No	0.9378244444	9	$8.44
15:26:38	BUY	No	0.9369553846	13	$12.18
15:26:38	BUY	No	0.936	10	$9.36
15:21:33	BUY	No	0.9348629147	24	$22.56
15:21:33	BUY	No	0.934	5	$4.67
15:21:33	BUY	No	0.933	11	$10.08
15:21:33	BUY	No	0.9332990654	4	$3.99
15:21:33	BUY	No	0.93204	5	$4.66
15:21:32	BUY	No	0.932	7	$6.71
13:50:19	BUY	No	0.932	5	$4.66
13:50:19	BUY	No	0.932	5	$4.66
12:13:00	SELL	Yes	0.0675133333	9	$0.61
10:50:22	BUY	No	0.932	1	$1.29