Beefie
0xe6c958c3ec6fa4facce6b4f50dd200aa13f2947c
- Realised P&L
- $529.89
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $28.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.057 | $28.25 | −$171.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$722.72at 0.670Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
- +$251.11at 0.474Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$35.57at 0.291Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$15.51at 0.460Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
- +$5.86at 0.320Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 22:34 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.306 | $153.00 |
| 06-17 13:45 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3870518222 | $25.17 |
| 11-01 16:03 | Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.304366426 | $795.08 |
| 10-30 09:24 | Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.24827287 | $104.35 |
| 10-29 13:42 | Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | BUY | 0.2964249791 | $531.40 |
| 09-28 13:54 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3? | BUY | 0.27 | $29.10 |
| 09-27 14:15 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $570.73 |
| 09-27 14:10 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $668.84 |
| 09-18 11:22 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.36 |
| 09-18 11:19 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $150.40 |
| 09-18 11:17 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | SELL | 0.934220049 | $369.70 |
| 09-18 09:53 | Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $40.12 |
| 09-18 09:17 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | SELL | 0.7451661805 | $206.94 |
| 09-17 11:24 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $63.57 |
| 09-17 10:37 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.12 |