PolyBot

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Traders

DearMaria

0xabaacf1ddc4c914706cc38b17e96a835a09da174

Realised P&L
$78.03
Volume
$151.2k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$19.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.4700.057$19.72$144.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 22:00Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.0717142857$19.08
06-07 22:00Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?SELL0.25$23.50
06-07 21:53Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.1005720595$43.95
06-07 21:52Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.91$160.16
06-07 21:51Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.898$3.68
06-07 21:51Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.188$0.94
06-07 21:51Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?SELL0.73$0.69
06-07 21:51Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.08$0.48
06-07 21:51Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.81$7.27
05-17 09:38Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.28$2.52
05-17 09:38Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?BUY0.6$5.40
05-16 10:27Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.2407227848$19.02
05-16 10:27Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?BUY0.6454349367$50.99
05-16 06:39Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.25$1.50
05-16 06:39Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.686$4.12