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Traders

Ume-Chang

0xae89da6594bb0d421c8d807d74e213f8729e90b8

Realised P&L
$-9.2k
Volume
$1.01M
Markets traded
8,413
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,413
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7560.910$7.2k+$1.2k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6100.115$230.00−$990.00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0570.254$189.27+$146.67
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2050.013$17.02−$250.94
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00−$12.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.9200.000$0.00−$9.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$1.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$99.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 03:56Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.997$94.72
10-27 03:52Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.9815117888$361.76
10-27 03:52Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.987$202.34
10-26 13:25Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.938$399.99
10-23 06:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.11$220.00
10-23 06:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.11$440.00
10-18 09:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.12$13.04
10-18 08:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL0.01$1.09
10-18 08:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSELL0.09$0.45
10-18 04:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETSELL0.99$107.59
10-18 02:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSELL0.97$34.38
10-18 02:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSELL0.97$12.61
10-17 23:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSELL0.99$9.90
10-17 23:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSELL0.98$13.47
10-17 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSELL0.97$105.43
Trader Ume-Chang · PolyBot Pro