PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ume-Chang

0xae89da6594bb0d421c8d807d74e213f8729e90b8

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$900.1k
Markets traded
7,983
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,983
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration75.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.4000.490$2.0k+$369.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6100.175$1.4k$3.5k
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2260.004$259.19$12.8k
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0570.248$184.80+$142.20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2050.057$73.97$193.99
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No0.5800.000$0.00$633.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 04:25Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.17$79.42
09-14 04:25Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.2$351.92
09-13 21:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSELL0.97$105.43
09-13 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSELL0.97$96.94
09-13 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSELL0.97$58.68
09-13 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.98$44.59
09-13 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.98$14.64
09-13 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.98$37.73
09-13 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.98$9.55
09-13 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.97$22.55
09-13 10:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSELL0.97$15.52
09-13 09:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETSELL0.97$8.24
09-13 09:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSELL0.97$60.63
09-13 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.97$4.85
09-13 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.97$6.09