Ume-Chang
0xae89da6594bb0d421c8d807d74e213f8729e90b8
- Realised P&L
- $-9.2k
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Markets traded
- 8,413
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,413
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.661US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.8kat 0.820US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$5.6kat 0.264Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$4.6kat 0.665US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.671US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 03:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $94.72 |
| 10-27 03:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9815117888 | $361.76 |
| 10-27 03:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $202.34 |
| 10-26 13:25 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.938 | $399.99 |
| 10-23 06:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $220.00 |
| 10-23 06:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $440.00 |
| 10-18 09:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $13.04 |
| 10-18 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $1.09 |
| 10-18 08:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-18 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $107.59 |
| 10-18 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $34.38 |
| 10-18 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $12.61 |
| 10-17 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-17 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $13.47 |
| 10-17 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $105.43 |