PolyBot

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Traders

fed26

0xaf458bee32b8f1d9ba39ee876f20c7e3ce62ec7d

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$3.65M
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$264.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3950.971$254.9k+$151.1k
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No0.3870.986$3.3k+$2.0k
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.4990.977$2.3k+$1.1k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.005$1.9k−$1.2k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.017$1.8k+$303.53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.4040.013$37.54−$1.1k
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0790.259$25.76+$17.90
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8280.994$1.99+$0.33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00−$2.7k
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$10.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 05:38Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.971$13.08
07-21 03:36Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.0626828786$7.93
07-21 03:34Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?SELL0.057$0.29
07-21 03:34Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?SELL0.057$1.77
07-21 03:32Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?SELL0.057$0.29
07-21 03:31Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.845$4.22
07-15 03:57Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.065$5.59
07-06 04:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.096$4.20
07-06 04:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.096$365.05
07-03 16:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.092$13.89
07-01 18:48Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?SELL0.2997646073$160.94
06-26 01:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.175$197.63
06-24 06:59Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?SELL0.8143838533$4.3k
06-23 18:16Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6$3.00
06-23 17:46Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?SELL0.8302630092$3.6k