Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-02-10
Resolves by: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.57. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.30 to 0.57. 65 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	828	828
0.59	280	1,108
0.60	49	1,157
0.80	58	1,215
0.81	58	1,272
0.83	100	1,372
0.90	20	1,392
0.91	1,117	2,509
0.92	100	2,609
0.93	7	2,616
0.94	331	2,947
0.95	235	3,182

Spread0.01Mid0.57

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.57	784	784
0.56	501	1,284
0.55	20	1,304
0.54	30	1,334
0.48	10	1,344
0.46	20	1,364
0.45	104	1,468
0.44	259	1,727
0.32	20	1,747
0.31	20	1,767
0.20	21	1,788
0.18	40	1,828

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.43	784	784
0.44	501	1,284
0.45	20	1,304
0.46	30	1,334
0.52	10	1,344
0.54	20	1,364
0.55	104	1,468
0.56	259	1,727
0.68	20	1,747
0.69	20	1,767
0.80	21	1,788
0.82	40	1,828

Spread0.01Mid0.42

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	828	828
0.41	280	1,108
0.40	49	1,157
0.20	58	1,215
0.19	58	1,272
0.17	100	1,372
0.10	20	1,392
0.09	1,117	2,509
0.08	100	2,609
0.07	7	2,616
0.06	331	2,947
0.05	235	3,182

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
YoungAlphaGoat	Yes	768.99
podairpod	Yes	330.93
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	51.61
new-account-test222	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	448.57
0x03a4…92ea	No	259
needleladder	No	90.9
xtxpleasecallme	No	74.09
jef32423	No	64
pootytherewardfarmer	No	53.7
WarriorH	No	30
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	No	20.01
RandyHickey	No	20
bullbull88	No	20
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	No	20
arbtemis	No	20
0xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-1789898420454	No	20
tradetosurvive1	No	15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:41:54	SELL	No	0.42	20	$8.40
13:34:12	SELL	Yes	0.56	0	$0.13
07:35:24	SELL	Yes	0.56	5	$2.88
02:56:18	BUY	Yes	0.58	20	$11.60
02:56:16	SELL	No	0.42	200	$84.00
02:50:06	SELL	No	0.42	100	$42.00
02:20:49	SELL	No	0.42	37	$15.54
02:20:06	BUY	Yes	0.4527993932	1,121	$507.41
01:37:13	BUY	Yes	0.37	20	$7.40
00:32:09	BUY	No	0.5	92	$46.00
21:55:24	BUY	No	0.5	50	$25.00
13:59:55	BUY	No	0.6499999515	5	$3.35
13:59:55	BUY	No	0.64	5	$3.20
12:06:48	BUY	Yes	0.32	83	$26.56
11:16:34	BUY	Yes	0.3099999954	52	$16.00
10:56:09	SELL	No	0.68	7	$4.86
10:54:22	SELL	No	0.69	31	$21.53
10:50:39	BUY	No	0.699999972	7	$5.00
10:27:31	BUY	No	0.6999999876	8	$5.64
10:25:25	SELL	Yes	0.33	20	$6.60
10:25:24	BUY	Yes	0.3001269214	213	$63.85
10:25:21	BUY	No	0.8	1	$0.80
10:25:21	SELL	No	0.8	0	$0.22
10:25:15	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.00
10:25:15	BUY	No	0.8	10	$8.00