Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-02
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.84. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.83. Range 0.80 to 0.88. 165 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	74	74
0.86	410	484
0.87	462	947
0.88	298	1,245
0.89	189	1,434
0.90	75	1,509
0.91	50	1,559
0.92	88	1,646
0.93	75	1,721
0.94	109	1,830
0.95	322	2,152
0.96	786	2,938

Spread0.02Mid0.84

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	288	288
0.82	508	796
0.81	280	1,075
0.80	178	1,254
0.68	10	1,264
0.37	50	1,314
0.36	8	1,322
0.27	100	1,422
0.26	5	1,427
0.25	100	1,527
0.12	120	1,647
0.05	480	2,127

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	288	288
0.18	508	796
0.19	280	1,075
0.20	178	1,254
0.32	10	1,264
0.63	50	1,314
0.64	8	1,322
0.73	100	1,422
0.74	5	1,427
0.75	100	1,527
0.88	120	1,647
0.95	480	2,127

Spread0.02Mid0.16

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	74	74
0.14	410	484
0.13	462	947
0.12	298	1,245
0.11	189	1,434
0.10	75	1,509
0.09	50	1,559
0.08	88	1,646
0.07	75	1,721
0.06	109	1,830
0.05	322	2,152
0.04	786	2,938

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
firegold	Yes	1,251.99
nicholasflamel	Yes	457.19
zhyfacai	Yes	250
podairpod	Yes	201
0x74BedED250c8282501D155636F8e246CA46e78E9-1781567610364	Yes	142.18
0x2463d83c415F683886cb17Abec8683756EabeB80-1757816058120	Yes	119.05
xiaoaojiang	Yes	115
LornaPredicts	Yes	88
pengu-n	Yes	49
Geeman	Yes	45
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	45
Haradwaith	Yes	40.06
0x9687…1b7c	Yes	30
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	29.43
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	29
0x94d929eA781Ba4FD45711C81F7581B574919Bc47-1771307973415	Yes	14.72
TeenagePanda	Yes	14.1
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	10
alpha.chen	Yes	10
0x453D27B0734893F40F90b296690BD62C9d7e6020-1767479144767	Yes	3.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:51:36	BUY	No	0.16	20	$3.20
07:51:32	BUY	No	0.16	38	$6.11
07:51:32	BUY	No	0.16	40	$6.40
06:14:42	BUY	Yes	0.8599999986	58	$50.00
06:14:23	BUY	Yes	0.8599999986	58	$50.00
23:36:30	BUY	Yes	0.8	18	$14.40
23:13:12	BUY	Yes	0.81	8	$6.48
23:12:57	BUY	Yes	0.81	8	$6.48
23:11:44	BUY	No	0.24	1	$0.33
23:11:44	BUY	No	0.24	11	$2.57
23:11:32	BUY	Yes	0.7832625	8	$6.27
23:11:32	BUY	No	0.2382758621	9	$2.07
23:11:32	BUY	No	0.22	8	$1.76
23:11:20	BUY	No	0.19	1	$0.27
23:11:20	BUY	No	0.2176724138	6	$1.26
23:11:20	BUY	No	0.19	4	$0.76
23:09:51	SELL	Yes	0.8	12	$9.69
23:09:50	BUY	No	0.2	6	$1.20
23:09:50	BUY	No	0.19	14	$2.66
23:09:48	BUY	No	0.19	40	$7.60
22:49:06	BUY	No	0.16	10	$1.60
22:48:36	BUY	No	0.16	10	$1.60
22:46:30	BUY	No	0.15	10	$1.50
22:46:08	BUY	No	0.15	10	$1.50
22:45:45	BUY	No	0.15	10	$1.50